Coley Rebekah Levine, Medeiros Bethany L, Schindler Holly S
Social Policy Research Centre, University of New South Wales, New South Wales, Australia.
J Adolesc Health. 2008 Aug;43(2):133-40. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2007.12.012. Epub 2008 Apr 25.
To estimate effects of positive and involved parenting during mid-adolescence on sexual risk behaviors (frequency of intercourse, unprotected intercourse, and number of sexual partners) during late adolescence. Substantial literature suggests that supportive family contexts and parenting behaviors may discourage adolescents from engaging in early and risky sexual activities; yet methodological limitations hamper the conclusions regarding causality and directionality that can be drawn from much existing research. To address such limitations, the current study used a variety of increasingly conservative statistical modeling techniques to help control for unobserved heterogeneity and potential bias and hence to progress toward identifying causal relationships.
Drawing from a nationally representative longitudinal survey of adolescents (NLSY97; N = 4980), this study used ordinary least squares (OLS) regression models, lagged regression models, and family fixed-effects models to assess whether parental knowledge, parent negativity, and family activities during midadolescence predicted differences in late adolescent sexual risk behaviors.
Even after controlling for unobserved heterogeneity across individuals and across families, parenting processes significantly predicted later adolescent sexual risk behaviors. Specifically, more regular family activities and less negative and hostile parenting during mid-adolescence predicted lower sexual risk behaviors during late adolescence.
Results concerning the buffering effects of parenting on adolescent risk behaviors help to inform prevention and intervention efforts. Through the use of more rigorous statistical methodology and large representative samples of youth, this research provides an exemplar of how survey research can seek to move closer to understanding causal processes in the exceedingly complex systems of human development.
评估青春期中期积极且参与度高的养育方式对青春期后期性风险行为(性交频率、无保护性交及性伴侣数量)的影响。大量文献表明,支持性的家庭环境和养育行为可能会阻碍青少年过早进行有风险的性活动;然而,方法上的局限性妨碍了从现有许多研究中得出有关因果关系和方向性的结论。为解决此类局限性,本研究采用了各种日益保守的统计建模技术,以帮助控制未观察到的异质性和潜在偏差,从而朝着确定因果关系迈进。
本研究借鉴了一项具有全国代表性的青少年纵向调查(NLSY97;N = 4980),使用普通最小二乘法(OLS)回归模型、滞后回归模型和家庭固定效应模型,来评估青春期中期的父母知识、父母消极态度和家庭活动是否能预测青春期后期性风险行为的差异。
即使在控制了个体间和家庭间未观察到的异质性之后,养育过程仍能显著预测青少年后期的性风险行为。具体而言,青春期中期更规律的家庭活动以及更少消极和敌对的养育方式,预测了青春期后期更低的性风险行为。
关于养育方式对青少年风险行为的缓冲作用的研究结果有助于为预防和干预工作提供信息。通过使用更严格的统计方法和大量具有代表性的青年样本,本研究提供了一个范例,展示了调查研究如何努力更接近地理解人类发展这一极其复杂系统中的因果过程。