Freedman Laurence S, Midthune Douglas, Carroll Raymond J, Kipnis Victor
Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Policy Research, Tel Hashomer, Israel.
Stat Med. 2008 Nov 10;27(25):5195-216. doi: 10.1002/sim.3361.
Regression calibration (RC) is a popular method for estimating regression coefficients when one or more continuous explanatory variables, X, are measured with an error. In this method, the mismeasured covariate, W, is substituted by the expectation E(X|W), based on the assumption that the error in the measurement of X is non-differential. Using simulations, we compare three versions of RC with two other 'substitution' methods, moment reconstruction (MR) and imputation (IM), neither of which rely on the non-differential error assumption. We investigate studies that have an internal calibration sub-study. For RC, we consider (i) the usual version of RC, (ii) RC applied only to the 'marker' information in the calibration study, and (iii) an 'efficient' version (ERC) in which the estimators (i) and (ii) are combined. Our results show that ERC is preferable when there is non-differential measurement error. Under this condition, there are cases where ERC is less efficient than MR or IM, but they rarely occur in epidemiology. We show that the efficiency gain of usual RC and ERC over the other methods can sometimes be dramatic. The usual version of RC carries similar efficiency gains to ERC over MR and IM, but becomes unstable as measurement error becomes large, leading to bias and poor precision. When differential measurement error does pertain, then MR and IM have considerably less bias than RC, but can have much larger variance. We demonstrate our findings with an analysis of dietary fat intake and mortality in a large cohort study.
回归校准(RC)是一种在一个或多个连续解释变量X存在测量误差时估计回归系数的常用方法。在这种方法中,基于X测量误差是非差异误差的假设,将误测的协变量W用期望E(X|W)来替代。通过模拟,我们将RC的三个版本与另外两种“替代”方法——矩重建(MR)和插补(IM)进行比较,后两种方法都不依赖于非差异误差假设。我们研究了具有内部校准子研究的情况。对于RC,我们考虑:(i)RC的常规版本;(ii)仅应用于校准研究中“标记”信息的RC;以及(iii)一种“有效”版本(ERC),其中结合了估计器(i)和(ii)。我们的结果表明,当存在非差异测量误差时,ERC更可取。在此条件下,存在ERC比MR或IM效率低的情况,但在流行病学中很少出现。我们表明,常规RC和ERC相对于其他方法的效率提升有时可能非常显著。RC的常规版本相对于MR和IM具有与ERC相似的效率提升,但随着测量误差变大变得不稳定,导致偏差和精度较差。当存在差异测量误差时,MR和IM的偏差比RC小得多,但方差可能大得多。我们通过对一项大型队列研究中膳食脂肪摄入量和死亡率的分析来证明我们的发现。