Vestergaard Mogens, Pedersen Marianne Giørtz, Ostergaard John R, Pedersen Carsten Bøcker, Olsen Jørn, Christensen Jakob
Department of General Practice, Institute of Public Health, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
Lancet. 2008 Aug 9;372(9637):457-63. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(08)61198-8.
No studies have had sufficient size to estimate mortality in children with febrile seizures. We studied mortality after febrile seizures in a large population-based cohort of children in Denmark with up to 28 years of follow-up.
We identified 1 675 643 children born in Denmark between Jan 1, 1977, and Dec 31, 2004, by linking information from nationwide registers for civil service, health, and cause of death. Children were followed up from 3 months of age, until death, emigration, or Aug 31, 2005. We estimated overall and cause-specific mortality after first febrile seizures with survival analyses. Furthermore, we undertook a case-control study nested within the cohort and retrieved information from medical records about febrile seizure and neurological abnormalities for children who died (N=8172) and individually-matched controls (N=40 860).
We identified 8172 children who died, including 232 deaths in 55 215 children with a history of febrile seizures. The mortality rate ratio was 80% higher during the first year (adjusted mortality rate ratio 1.80 [95% CI 1.31-2.40]) and 90% higher during the second year (1.89 [1.27-2.70]) after the first febrile seizure; thereafter it was close to that noted for the general population. 132 of 100 000 children (95% CI 102-163) died within 2 years of a febrile seizure compared with 67 (57-76) deaths per 100 000 children without a history of this disorder. In the nested case-control study, children with simple (</=15 min and no recurrence within 24 h) febrile seizure had a mortality rate similar to that of the background population (adjusted mortality rate ratio 1.09 [95% CI 0.72-1.64]), whereas mortality was increased for those with complex (>15 min or recurrence within 24 h) febrile seizures (1.99 [1.24-3.21]). This finding was partly explained by pre-existing neurological abnormalities and subsequent epilepsy.
Long-term mortality is not increased in children with febrile seizures, but there seems to be a small excess mortality during the 2 years after complex febrile seizures. Parents should be reassured that death after febrile seizures is very rare, even in high-risk children.
尚无研究有足够大的样本量来估计热性惊厥患儿的死亡率。我们对丹麦一个基于人群的大型儿童队列进行了研究,随访时间长达28年,以了解热性惊厥后的死亡率情况。
通过链接全国公务员、健康和死亡原因登记处的信息,我们确定了1977年1月1日至2004年12月31日在丹麦出生的1675643名儿童。儿童从3个月大开始随访,直至死亡、移民或2005年8月31日。我们采用生存分析方法估计首次热性惊厥后的总体死亡率和特定病因死亡率。此外,我们在该队列中进行了一项巢式病例对照研究,从病历中获取了死亡儿童(N = 8172)和个体匹配对照(N = 40860)的热性惊厥和神经异常信息。
我们确定了8172名死亡儿童,其中55215名有热性惊厥病史的儿童中有232例死亡。首次热性惊厥后的第一年死亡率比值高80%(调整后的死亡率比值为1.80 [95%可信区间1.31 - 2.40]),第二年高90%(1.89 [1.27 - 2.70]);此后接近一般人群的死亡率。每100000名儿童中有132例(95%可信区间102 - 163)在热性惊厥后2年内死亡,而每100000名无热性惊厥病史的儿童中有67例(57 - 76)死亡。在巢式病例对照研究中,单纯性(≤15分钟且24小时内无复发)热性惊厥患儿的死亡率与背景人群相似(调整后的死亡率比值为1.09 [95%可信区间0.72 - 1.64]),而复杂性(>15分钟或24小时内复发)热性惊厥患儿的死亡率则升高(1.99 [1.24 - 3.21])。这一发现部分可由既往存在的神经异常和随后的癫痫来解释。
热性惊厥患儿的长期死亡率并未增加,但复杂性热性惊厥后的2年内似乎有小幅额外死亡率。应让家长放心,热性惊厥后死亡非常罕见,即使在高危儿童中也是如此。