Saini Sameer D, Schoenfeld Philip, Fendrick A Mark, Scheiman James
Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, 3912 Taubman Center, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-0362, USA.
Arch Intern Med. 2008 Aug 11;168(15):1684-90; discussion 1691. doi: 10.1001/archinte.168.15.1684.
Patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) require long-term therapy with low-dose aspirin (ASA). Although these patients are at increased risk for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) and proton pump inhibitor (PPI) cotherapy may reduce such risk, it is not known whether lifelong PPI cotherapy is cost-effective.
A Markov model was developed to compare lifelong therapy with ASA alone vs therapy with ASA plus PPI in patients with CHD who are at least 50 years old. Base-case assumptions were (1) starting age, 65 years (range, 50-80 years); (2) UGIB risk category, average risk (range, average to 8-fold increased risk); (3) PPI effectiveness (66% (range, 25%-75%); and (4) annual PPI cost, $250 (range, $250-$1400).
In the base-case analysis, ASA plus PPI resulted in fewer lifetime UGIB events (3.1% vs 9.5%) and UGIB-related deaths (0.4% vs 1.4%). At over-the-counter (OTC) PPI cost, ASA plus PPI was cost-effective, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $40,090 per life-year saved (LYS). Varying PPI effectiveness from 75% to 25% resulted in ICERs of $35,315 to $94,578 per LYS. Varying the starting age of the cohort from 80 to 50 years resulted in ICERs of $16,887 to $79,955 per LYS. At prescription PPI cost, the ICER for average-risk patients was over $100,000 per LYS across all modeled age groups and assumptions of PPI effectiveness, but the ICER for high-risk patients was $10,433 to $51,505 per LYS.
At OTC cost, PPI cotherapy is cost-effective in average-risk patients taking low-dose ASA for secondary prevention. At prescription cost, cotherapy is cost-effective for high-risk patients only.
冠心病(CHD)患者需要长期服用低剂量阿司匹林(ASA)进行治疗。尽管这些患者发生上消化道出血(UGIB)的风险增加,质子泵抑制剂(PPI)联合治疗可能会降低这种风险,但终身PPI联合治疗是否具有成本效益尚不清楚。
建立了一个马尔可夫模型,以比较至少50岁的冠心病患者单独使用ASA终身治疗与ASA加PPI治疗的效果。基础病例假设为:(1)起始年龄65岁(范围50 - 80岁);(2)UGIB风险类别为平均风险(范围为平均风险至风险增加8倍);(3)PPI有效性为66%(范围25% - 75%);(4)PPI年度成本为250美元(范围250 - 1400美元)。
在基础病例分析中,ASA加PPI导致终身UGIB事件(3.1%对9.5%)和UGIB相关死亡(0.4%对1.4%)更少。在非处方(OTC)PPI成本下,ASA加PPI具有成本效益,每挽救一个生命年(LYS)的增量成本效益比(ICER)为40,090美元。将PPI有效性从75%变为25%,每LYS的ICER为35,315至94,578美元。将队列的起始年龄从80岁变为50岁,每LYS的ICER为16,887至79,955美元。在处方PPI成本下,所有建模年龄组和PPI有效性假设下,平均风险患者的ICER每LYS超过100,000美元,但高风险患者的ICER为每LYS 10,433至51,505美元。
在OTC成本下,PPI联合治疗对于服用低剂量ASA进行二级预防的平均风险患者具有成本效益。在处方成本下,联合治疗仅对高风险患者具有成本效益。