Chen Wen-Hao, Corak Miles
Statistics Canada, 24th Floor R.H. Coats Building, Ottawa, ON K1A 0T6 Canada.
Demography. 2008 Aug;45(3):537-53. doi: 10.1353/dem.0.0024.
This article offers a cross-country overview of child poverty, changes in child poverty, and the impact of public policy in North America and Europe. Levels and changes in child poverty rates in 12 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries during the 1990s are documented using data from the Luxembourg Income Study project, and a decomposition analysis is used to uncover the relative role of demographic factors, labor markets, and income transfers from the state in determining the magnitude and direction of the changes. Child poverty rates fell noticeably in only three countries and rose in three others. In no country were demographic factors a force for higher child poverty rates, but these factors were also limited in their ability to cushion children from adverse shocks originating in the labor market or the government sector. Increases in the labor market engagement of mothers consistently lowered child poverty rates, while decreases in the employment rates and earnings of fathers were a force for higher rates. Finally, there is no single road to lower child poverty rates. Reforms to income transfers intended to increase labor supply may or may not end up lowering the child poverty rate.
本文概述了北美和欧洲儿童贫困状况的跨国情况、儿童贫困的变化以及公共政策的影响。利用卢森堡收入研究项目的数据记录了20世纪90年代12个经济合作与发展组织(经合组织)国家儿童贫困率的水平和变化,并采用分解分析来揭示人口因素、劳动力市场以及国家收入转移在决定变化幅度和方向方面的相对作用。儿童贫困率仅在三个国家显著下降,在另外三个国家上升。在任何国家,人口因素都不是导致儿童贫困率上升的因素,但这些因素在缓冲儿童免受劳动力市场或政府部门不利冲击方面的能力也很有限。母亲劳动力市场参与度的提高持续降低了儿童贫困率,而父亲就业率和收入的下降则是导致贫困率上升的一个因素。最后,降低儿童贫困率没有单一途径。旨在增加劳动力供给的收入转移改革可能最终降低也可能不会降低儿童贫困率。