Tsigrelis Constantine, Tleyjeh Imad M, Lahr Brian D, Nyre Lisa M, Virk Abinash, Baddour Larry M
Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Clin Infect Dis. 2008 Dec 1;47(11):1367-71. doi: 10.1086/592970.
Following the introduction of a 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for children in 2000, there has been a decrease in the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease among both children and adults in the United States. We evaluated the hypothesis that the case-fatality and mortality rates for invasive pneumococcal disease have also decreased since 2000.
We conducted a population-based outcome study in Olmsted County, Minnesota, during the period 1995-2007 that involved patients of all ages.
From 1 January 1995 through 31 December 2007, a total of 180 eligible cases of invasive pneumococcal disease were identified in Olmsted County. During the 13-year study period, the overall case-fatality rate for invasive pneumococcal disease decreased from 19% (14 of 74 cases) in 1995-1999 to 5% (5 of 91 cases) in 2001-2007, an 83% decrease, after adjustment for age, sex, and Charlson comorbidity index score (P =.003). The largest decreases in case-fatality rate were seen among adults aged >/=65 years (an 86% decrease, from 31% [9 of 29 cases] to 8% [3 of 40 cases]; P=.02) and patients with invasive pneumonia (a 78% decrease, from 22% [12 of 55 cases] to 7% [5 of 72 cases]; P=.01). The overall mortality rate for invasive pneumococcal disease decreased from 2.9 deaths per 100,000 person-years in 1995-1999 to 0.7 deaths per 100,000 person-years in 2001-2007, a 78% decrease, after adjustment for age and sex in a Poisson regression model (P=.002).
Significant decreases in the case-fatality and mortality rates for invasive pneumococcal disease were demonstrated in the population of Olmsted County. Additional studies are needed to confirm our findings in other populations.
自2000年美国为儿童引入7价肺炎球菌结合疫苗以来,美国儿童和成人侵袭性肺炎球菌病的发病率均有所下降。我们评估了自2000年以来侵袭性肺炎球菌病的病死率和死亡率也有所下降这一假设。
我们于1995 - 2007年期间在明尼苏达州奥姆斯特德县开展了一项基于人群的结局研究,纳入了所有年龄段的患者。
从1995年1月1日至2007年12月31日,奥姆斯特德县共确诊180例符合条件的侵袭性肺炎球菌病病例。在为期13年的研究期间,侵袭性肺炎球菌病的总体病死率从1995 - 1999年的19%(74例中的14例)降至2001 - 2007年的5%(91例中的5例),在对年龄、性别和查尔森合并症指数评分进行调整后,下降了83%(P = 0.003)。病死率下降幅度最大的是年龄≥65岁的成年人(下降86%,从31%[29例中的9例]降至8%[40例中的3例];P = 0.02)以及侵袭性肺炎患者(下降78%,从22%[55例中的12例]降至7%[72例中的5例];P = 0.01)。侵袭性肺炎球菌病的总体死亡率从1995 - 1999年的每10万人年2.9例死亡降至2001 - 2007年的每10万人年0.7例死亡,在泊松回归模型中对年龄和性别进行调整后,下降了78%(P = 0.002)。
奥姆斯特德县人群中侵袭性肺炎球菌病的病死率和死亡率显著下降。需要进一步研究以在其他人群中证实我们的发现。