Nichols Kirstin G, Prytherch David R, Fancourt Micheal F, Gilkison William T C, Kyle Stephen M, Mosquera Damien A
Department of General Surgery, Taranaki Base Hospital, New Plymouth, Taranaki, New Zealand.
ANZ J Surg. 2008 Nov;78(11):990-4. doi: 10.1111/j.1445-2197.2008.04718.x.
Surgical admissions in patients more than the age of 80 years are increasing. Age-related comorbidities place this group at particular risk of complications and death. The aim of this study was to specifically document our current outcomes in patients more than 80 years old admitted to a surgical unit, in particular, to assess the risk-adjusted scoring tool used to predict outcomes in this patient population for operative and non-operative patients.
A prospective audit of all patients older than 80 years admitted to the general surgical unit between the 1 January and 30 November 2006 was carried out. Morbidity and mortality data were collected on standardized pro forma.
There were 243 consecutive admissions in 223 surgical patients (readmission 8.2%, n = 20) comprising 70 emergency admissions (28.8%), 82 elective admissions (33.8%) and 91 non-operative admissions (37.5%). Complications occurred in 47.1% of emergency admissions, 18.3% of elective admissions and 23.3% of non-operative admissions. Thirty-day mortality was 15.7% (n = 11) for emergency admissions, 0% for elective admissions and 17.4% (n = 16) for non-operative admissions. Emergency laparotomy 30-day mortality was 31.6% (n = 6). There was no evidence of lack of fit when using the risk-adjusted scoring tool to compare observed with predicted deaths in all patient groups.
In all patients more than the age of 80 years admitted to General Surgery, Taranaki Base Hospital, morbidity and mortality results were acceptable when compared with published work. Risk-adjusted prediction of mortality compared favourably with observed outcomes, but more data are required to validate this tool in elective patients.
80岁以上患者的外科手术入院人数正在增加。与年龄相关的合并症使该群体特别容易出现并发症和死亡。本研究的目的是具体记录我们目前收治到外科病房的80岁以上患者的治疗结果,特别是评估用于预测该患者群体手术和非手术患者治疗结果的风险调整评分工具。
对2006年1月1日至11月30日期间收治到普通外科病房的所有80岁以上患者进行前瞻性审计。通过标准化表格收集发病率和死亡率数据。
223例外科患者连续入院243次(再入院率8.2%,n = 20),其中急诊入院70例(28.8%),择期入院82例(33.8%),非手术入院91例(37.5%)。急诊入院患者的并发症发生率为47.1%,择期入院患者为18.3%,非手术入院患者为23.3%。急诊入院患者的30天死亡率为15.7%(n = 11),择期入院患者为0%,非手术入院患者为17.4%(n = 16)。急诊剖腹手术的30天死亡率为31.6%(n = 6)。在所有患者组中,使用风险调整评分工具比较观察到的死亡人数和预测的死亡人数时,没有发现拟合不足的证据。
在塔拉纳基基地医院普通外科收治的所有80岁以上患者中,与已发表的研究相比,发病率和死亡率结果是可以接受的。风险调整后的死亡率预测与观察到的结果相比具有优势,但需要更多数据来验证该工具在择期患者中的有效性。