Hay J W, Robin E D
Hoover Institution, Stanford University, CA 94305-6010.
Am J Public Health. 1991 Apr;81(4):427-33. doi: 10.2105/ajph.81.4.427.
Alpha 1-antitrypsin (AAT) replacement therapy is an expensive intervention ($20,000-$30,000 per patient annually) which may slow or arrest the progression of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in AAT-deficient patients. While FDA-approved, therapy efficacy is unknown. The costs and benefits of AAT replacement therapy were evaluated for patients with congenital COPD.
Epidemiological and disease cost data were taken from published sources. A discrete-time model of disease stage probability transition was developed to calculate the present-value expected cost of disease treatment, under a range of possible therapy efficacy and other parameter values.
At an efficacy of 70 percent, the cost per life year saved with AAT replacement therapy would be between $28,000 and $72,000 (1990 US dollars), depending on patient age, sex, and smoking status. At 30 percent efficacy, the cost per life year saved range would be between $50,000 and $128,000. A controlled efficacy study would cost $53 million or less, if the true efficacy were 50 percent or better.
With efficacy of 30 percent or higher, therapy cost-effectiveness would be comparable to other widely used medical interventions. The economic assessment methodology was used to evaluate both the therapeutic innovation and the value of additional clinical research.
α1-抗胰蛋白酶(AAT)替代疗法是一种昂贵的干预措施(每位患者每年20,000 - 30,000美元),它可能会减缓或阻止AAT缺乏患者慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)的进展。虽然该疗法已获美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)批准,但其疗效尚不清楚。对先天性COPD患者的AAT替代疗法的成本和效益进行了评估。
流行病学和疾病成本数据取自已发表的资料。建立了疾病阶段概率转移的离散时间模型,以计算在一系列可能的治疗效果和其他参数值下疾病治疗的现值预期成本。
在疗效为70%时,根据患者年龄、性别和吸烟状况,AAT替代疗法每挽救一个生命年的成本在28,000美元至72,000美元之间(1990年美元)。在疗效为30%时,每挽救一个生命年的成本范围在50,000美元至128,000美元之间。如果真实疗效为50%或更高,一项对照疗效研究的成本将为5300万美元或更低。
如果疗效达到30%或更高,该疗法的成本效益将与其他广泛使用的医学干预措施相当。经济评估方法用于评估治疗创新和额外临床研究的价值。