Chung Eun-Sung, Lee Kil Seong
Engineering Research Institute, Seoul National University, Seoul 151-741, Republic of Korea.
J Environ Manage. 2009 Mar;90(3):1502-11. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2008.10.008. Epub 2008 Dec 4.
The objective of this study is to develop an alternative evaluation index (AEI) in order to determine the priorities of a range of alternatives using both the hydrological simulation program in FORTRAN (HSPF) and multicriteria decision making (MCDM) techniques. In order to formulate the HSPF model, sensitivity analyses of water quantity (peak discharge and total volume) and quality (BOD peak concentrations and total loads) are conducted and a number of critical parameters were selected. To achieve a more precise simulation, the study watershed is divided into four regions for calibration and verification according to landuse, location, slope, and climate data. All evaluation criteria were selected using the Driver-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) model, a sustainability evaluation concept. The Analytic Hierarchy Process is used to estimate the weights of the criteria and the effects of water quantity and quality were quantified by HSPF simulation. In addition, AEIs that reflected residents' preferences for management objectives are proposed in order to induce the stakeholder to participate in the decision making process.
本研究的目的是开发一种替代评估指标（AEI），以便使用FORTRAN水文模拟程序（HSPF）和多准则决策（MCDM）技术来确定一系列替代方案的优先级。为了构建HSPF模型，对水量（峰值流量和总体积）和水质（生化需氧量峰值浓度和总负荷）进行了敏感性分析，并选择了一些关键参数。为了实现更精确的模拟，根据土地利用、位置、坡度和气候数据，将研究流域划分为四个区域进行校准和验证。所有评估标准均采用可持续性评估概念——驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应（DPSIR）模型进行选择。采用层次分析法估计标准权重，并通过HSPF模拟对水量和水质的影响进行量化。此外，还提出了反映居民对管理目标偏好的AEI，以促使利益相关者参与决策过程。
