Li Jing, Chen Zheng-Xian, Liu Kuan
Department of Respiratory Medicine, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangzhou 510080, China.
Zhonghua Jie He He Hu Xi Za Zhi. 2008 Dec;31(12):897-901.
To describe the endobronchial ultrasonographic characteristics and the cut-off value for diagnosis of peripheral lung cancer, and therefore to evaluate its diagnostic value.
During June 1st, 2005 and June 30th, 2006, 78 patients with peripheral pulmonary lesions were enrolled. The lesions were all detectable by endobronchial ultrasonography (EBUS) and a final diagnosis was made. The endobronchial ultrasonographic structure of peripheral pulmonary lesions were analyzed, differentiated and classified into malignant or benign groups.
According to the result of binary multivariable logistic regression analysis on the 9 variables and by calculating the area under ROC curve, 5 variables were found to be useful in predicting the presence of malignancy: (1) clear borderline; (2) internal hypoechoic echo; (3) heterogeneous pattern; (4) without internal hyperechoic dots and linear arcs; (5) adjacent blood vessels representing shift, narrow or break-off. The equation of malignancy probability for any patient was: P = 1/[1 + e(-) (6.321-3.097X(2)-1.537X(1) + 1.898X(5) + 2.390X(3) + 3.003X(4))], X(1) for borderline; X(2) for internal hyperechoic dots and linear arcs; X(3) for adjacent blood vessels; X(4) for internal echo intensity; X(5) for internal echo distribution. The areas of ROC curve illustrated that multivariable logistic regression model discriminated benign and malignant lesions better than univariable logistic regression. The optimal cut-off value of the malignancy probability, which was greater or equal to 0.52 according to the ROC curve. This model gave a sensitivity and specificity of 87.2% and 80.6%, and the accuracy was 85.9%.
Endobronchial ultrasonographic characteristics of peripheral lung cancer included clear borderline, internal hypoechoic echo, heterogeneous pattern, without hyperechoic dots and linear arcs, and adjacent blood vessel shift, narrow or break-off. Multivariable logistic regression model discriminated benign and malignant lesions better than univariable logistic regression. Combination of multiple variables increases the sensitivity, specificity and accuracy for prediction of malignancy.
描述周围型肺癌的支气管内超声特征及诊断的截断值,从而评估其诊断价值。
2005年6月1日至2006年6月30日,纳入78例周围型肺部病变患者。所有病变均经支气管内超声(EBUS)检测并做出最终诊断。分析、鉴别周围型肺部病变的支气管内超声结构,并分为恶性或良性组。
对9个变量进行二元多变量逻辑回归分析,并计算ROC曲线下面积,发现5个变量对预测恶性病变有用:(1)边界清晰;(2)内部低回声;(3)不均匀模式;(4)无内部高回声点和线性弧;(5)相邻血管移位、变窄或中断。任何患者的恶性概率方程为:P = 1/[1 + e^(-)(6.321 - 3.097X(2) - 1.537X(1) + 1.898X(5) + 2.390X(3) + 3.003X(4))],X(1)代表边界;X(2)代表内部高回声点和线性弧;X(3)代表相邻血管;X(4)代表内部回声强度;X(5)代表内部回声分布。ROC曲线面积表明,多变量逻辑回归模型比单变量逻辑回归能更好地区分良性和恶性病变。根据ROC曲线,恶性概率的最佳截断值大于或等于0.52。该模型的敏感性和特异性分别为87.2%和80.6%,准确性为85.9%。
周围型肺癌的支气管内超声特征包括边界清晰、内部低回声、不均匀模式、无高回声点和线性弧以及相邻血管移位、变窄或中断。多变量逻辑回归模型比单变量逻辑回归能更好地区分良性和恶性病变。多个变量的组合提高了预测恶性病变的敏感性、特异性和准确性。