Schold Jesse D, Harman Jeffrey S, Chumbler Neale R, Duncan R Paul, Meier-Kriesche Herwig-Ulf
Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Hypertension, and Renal Transplantation, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Med Care. 2009 Feb;47(2):146-53. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0b013e31818475c9.
There are currently over half a million end-stage renal disease patients and >70,000 patients listed to receive a deceased donor kidney transplant in the United States. To receive a deceased donor transplant, patients are placed on a waiting list at one of approximately 240 centers. Although candidate decisions to list at a particular center may often be made passively (based on proximity or physician referral), the important question remains as to whether the center of listing has a significant impact on patient outcomes.
The study evaluated adult kidney transplant candidates in the United States listed from 1995 to 2000 (n = 108,928) with follow-up through 2006. The primary outcome of patient survival was investigated with survival models evaluated with respect to 4 center characteristics (volume, donor quality, waiting time, past performance). Center characteristics derived from years preceding listing, simulating information that could be attainable for prospective candidates.
Center waiting time had a marked association with survival (Adjusted hazard ratio = 1.32, 95% confidence interval: 1.27-1.38 for the longest waiting times). Past performance and donor quality also had significant association with survival; center volume was not a significant factor. The cumulative impact of center factors resulted in an average 4-year difference in life expectancy. Center characteristics at listing were strongly correlated with levels at the time of transplantation and centers with the "best" characteristics were located in every region of the country.
Center characteristics have significant impact on kidney transplant candidate survival. Information regarding the variability and importance of center factors should be clearly disseminated to transplant candidates.
在美国,目前有超过50万终末期肾病患者,且有超过7万人登记等待接受死体供肾移植。为了接受死体供者移植,患者会在约240个中心之一的等待名单上排队。尽管候选者在特定中心登记的决定通常可能是被动做出的(基于距离或医生推荐),但登记中心是否对患者预后有重大影响这一重要问题依然存在。
该研究评估了1995年至2000年在美国登记的成年肾移植候选者(n = 108,928),随访至2006年。通过生存模型研究患者生存的主要结局,该模型根据4个中心特征(移植量、供者质量、等待时间、既往表现)进行评估。中心特征源自登记前的年份,模拟潜在候选者可获取的信息。
中心等待时间与生存率有显著关联(调整后风险比 = 1.32,最长等待时间的95%置信区间:1.27 - 1.38)。既往表现和供者质量也与生存率有显著关联;中心移植量不是一个显著因素。中心因素的累积影响导致预期寿命平均相差4年。登记时的中心特征与移植时的水平密切相关,且具有“最佳”特征的中心分布在该国的各个地区。
中心特征对肾移植候选者的生存有重大影响。应将有关中心因素的变异性和重要性的信息明确告知移植候选者。