Martina John F, Williams Robert C
School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-2402, USA.
Biodemography Soc Biol. 2008 Fall;54(2):141-51. doi: 10.1080/19485565.2008.9989139.
Female genital cutting (FGC) is widespread in Africa. Its short and long term medical consequences are widely reported. Here we report that FGC is associated with and may contribute to increases in the sex ratio at birth (Odds Ratio = 1.019; 95% C.I. = 1.007, 1.032) while mother's age at birth is inversely associated with probability of male birth (Odds Ratio = 0.998; 95% C.I. = 0.997, 0.999) in a generalized linear, logistic model with the probability of a male birth the dependent variable and eight potential explanatory variables applied to 413,384 births in 22 African countries. While these two associations are statistically significant, their odds ratios are close to 1.0 and they only slightly decrease the null deviance of the model. Therefore sex determination in these data is still a mostly stochastic process determined by the random variation in X or Y sperm production, transport, and conception.
女性生殖器切割(FGC)在非洲广泛存在。其短期和长期的医学后果已有广泛报道。在此我们报告,在一个广义线性逻辑模型中,以男性出生概率为因变量,并将八个潜在解释变量应用于22个非洲国家的413,384例出生数据时,女性生殖器切割与出生性别比增加相关且可能促使其上升(优势比 = 1.019;95%置信区间 = 1.007, 1.032),而母亲的生育年龄与男性出生概率呈负相关(优势比 = 0.998;95%置信区间 = 0.997, 0.999)。虽然这两种关联具有统计学意义,但其优势比接近1.0,并且它们仅略微降低了模型的无效偏差。因此,这些数据中的性别决定仍然主要是一个由X或Y精子产生、运输和受孕的随机变化所决定的随机过程。