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调整错分严重程度的加权 Kappa 可降低急诊分诊系统报告可靠性:一项比较研究。

Adjusting weighted kappa for severity of mistriage decreases reported reliability of emergency department triage systems: a comparative study.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

出版信息

J Clin Epidemiol. 2009 Nov;62(11):1196-201. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2009.01.007. Epub 2009 Apr 23.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Mistriage can have serious consequences for patients with urgent complaints. We therefore reviewed the assessment of triage-reliability, and propose an alternative weighted kappa that accounts for severity of mistriage.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

A systematic literature search was performed in three online databases and a search engine. An alternative kappa weighting scheme was developed (triage-weighted kappa), and kappas of previous conducted reliability studies were recalculated.

RESULTS

Kappa is the most frequently used statistic in triage-reliability studies (n=33). More than half of the studies did not report the type of kappa that was used. Linear and quadratically weighted kappa values do not reflect the seriousness of mistriage. Several studies reported almost perfect agreement, whereas percentages of mistriage ranged between 11.1% and 43.4%. In all studies, triage-weighted kappa was lower than reported kappas with a mean difference of 0.17 (range: 0.04-0.32).

CONCLUSION

No existing studies on reliability of triage systems account for mistriage. Using triage-weighted kappa, which reflects severity of mistriage, shows that the reliability of triage systems is lower than reported.

摘要

目的

分诊错误可能会对有紧急诉求的患者产生严重后果。因此,我们对分诊可靠性的评估进行了回顾,并提出了一种替代的加权 κ 值,以考虑分诊错误的严重程度。

研究设计和设置

在三个在线数据库和一个搜索引擎中进行了系统的文献检索。开发了一种替代的 κ 值加权方案(分诊加权 κ 值),并重新计算了之前进行的可靠性研究的 κ 值。

结果

κ 值是分诊可靠性研究中最常用的统计量(n=33)。超过一半的研究没有报告所使用的 κ 值类型。线性和二次加权 κ 值不能反映分诊错误的严重程度。有几项研究报告了几乎完美的一致性,而分诊错误的百分比在 11.1%至 43.4%之间。在所有研究中,分诊加权 κ 值均低于报告的 κ 值,平均差异为 0.17(范围:0.04-0.32)。

结论

没有研究考虑分诊错误来评估分诊系统的可靠性。使用反映分诊错误严重程度的分诊加权 κ 值表明,分诊系统的可靠性低于报告的可靠性。

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