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择期引产的母婴结局

Maternal and neonatal outcomes of elective induction of labor.

作者信息

Caughey Aaron B, Sundaram Vandana, Kaimal Anjali J, Cheng Yvonne W, Gienger Allison, Little Sarah E, Lee Jason F, Wong Luchin, Shaffer Brian L, Tran Susan H, Padula Amy, McDonald Kathryn M, Long Elisa F, Owens Douglas K, Bravata Dena M

出版信息

Evid Rep Technol Assess (Full Rep). 2009 Mar(176):1-257.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Induction of labor is on the rise in the U.S., increasing from 9.5 percent in 1990 to 22.1 percent in 2004. Although, it is not entirely clear what proportion of these inductions are elective (i.e. without a medical indication), the overall rate of induction of labor is rising faster than the rate of pregnancy complications that would lead to a medically indicated induction. However, the maternal and neonatal effects of induction of labor are unclear. Many studies compare women with induction of labor to those in spontaneous labor. This is problematic, because at any point in the management of the woman with a term gestation, the clinician has the choice between induction of labor and expectant management, not spontaneous labor. Expectant management of the pregnancy involves nonintervention at any particular point in time and allowing the pregnancy to progress to a future gestational age. Thus, women undergoing expectant management may go into spontaneous labor or may require indicated induction of labor at a future gestational age.

OBJECTIVES

The Stanford-UCSF Evidence-Based Practice Center examined the evidence regarding four Key Questions: What evidence describes the maternal risks of elective induction versus expectant management? What evidence describes the fetal/neonatal risks of elective induction versus expectant management? What is the evidence that certain physical conditions/patient characteristics are predictive of a successful induction of labor? How is a failed induction defined?

METHODS

We performed a systematic review to answer the Key Questions. We searched MEDLINE(1966-2007) and bibliographies of prior systematic reviews and the included studies for English language studies of maternal and fetal outcomes after elective induction of labor. We evaluated the quality of included studies. When possible, we synthesized study data using random effects models. We also evaluated the potential clinical outcomes and cost-effectiveness of elective induction of labor versus expectant management of pregnancy labor at 41, 40, and 39 weeks' gestation using decision-analytic models.

RESULTS

Our searches identified 3,722 potentially relevant articles, of which 76 articles met inclusion criteria. Nine RCTs compared expectant management with elective induction of labor. We found that overall, expectant management of pregnancy was associated with an approximately 22 percent higher odds of cesarean delivery than elective induction of labor (OR 1.22, 95 percent CI 1.07-1.39; absolute risk difference 1.9, 95 percent CI: 0.2-3.7 percent). The majority of these studies were in women at or beyond 41 weeks of gestation (OR 1.21, 95 percent CI 1.01-1.46). In studies of women at or beyond 41 weeks of gestation, the evidence was rated as moderate because of the size and number of studies and consistency of the findings. Among women less than 41 weeks of gestation, there were three trials which reported no difference in risk of cesarean delivery among women who were induced as compared to expectant management (OR 1.73; 95 percent CI: 0.67-4.5, P=0.26), but all of these trials were small, non-U.S., older, and of poor quality. When we stratified the analysis by country, we found that the odds of cesarean delivery were higher in women who were expectantly managed compared to elective induction of labor in studies conducted outside the U.S. (OR 1.22; 95 percent CI 1.05-1.40) but were not statistically different in studies conducted in the U.S. (OR 1.28; 95 percent CI 0.65-2.49). Women who were expectantly managed were also more likely to have meconium-stained amniotic fluid than those who were electively induced (OR 2.04; 95 percent CI: 1.34-3.09). Observational studies reported a consistently lower risk of cesarean delivery among women who underwent spontaneous labor (6 percent) compared with women who had an elective induction of labor (8 percent) with a statistically significant decrease when combined (OR 0.63; 95 percent CI: 0.49-0.79), but again utilized the wrong control group and did not appropriately adjust for gestational age. We found moderate to high quality evidence that increased parity, a more favorable cervical status as assessed by a higher Bishop score, and decreased gestational age were associated with successful labor induction (58 percent of the included studies defined success as achieving a vaginal delivery anytime after the onset of the induction of labor; in these instances, induction was considered a failure when it led to a cesarean delivery). In the decision analytic model, we utilized a baseline assumption of no difference in cesarean delivery between the two arms as there was no statistically significant difference in the U.S. studies or in women prior to 41 0/7 weeks of gestation. In each of the models, women who were electively induced had better overall outcomes among both mothers and neonates as estimated by total quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) as well as by reduction in specific perinatal outcomes such as shoulder dystocia, meconium aspiration syndrome, and preeclampsia. Additionally, induction of labor was cost-effective at $10,789 per QALY with elective induction of labor at 41 weeks of gestation, $9,932 per QALY at 40 weeks of gestation, and $20,222 per QALY at 39 weeks of gestation utilizing a cost-effectiveness threshold of $50,000 per QALY. At 41 weeks of gestation, these results were generally robust to variations in the assumed ranges in univariate and multi-way sensitivity analyses. However, the findings of cost-effectiveness at 40 and 39 weeks of gestation were not robust to the ranges of the assumptions. In addition, the strength of evidence for some model inputs was low, therefore our analyses are exploratory rather than definitive.

CONCLUSIONS

Randomized controlled trials suggest that elective induction of labor at 41 weeks of gestation and beyond may be associated with a decrease in both the risk of cesarean delivery and of meconium-stained amniotic fluid. The evidence regarding elective induction of labor prior to 41 weeks of gestation is insufficient to draw any conclusion. There is a paucity of information from prospective RCTs examining other maternal or neonatal outcomes in the setting of elective induction of labor. Observational studies found higher rates of cesarean delivery with elective induction of labor, but compared women undergoing induction of labor to women in spontaneous labor and were subject to potential confounding bias, particularly from gestational age. Such studies do not inform the question of how elective induction of labor affects maternal or neonatal outcomes. Elective induction of labor at 41 weeks of gestation and potentially earlier also appears to be a cost-effective intervention, but because of the need for further data to populate these models our analyses are not definitive. Despite the evidence from the prospective, RCTs reported above, there are concerns about the translation of such findings into actual practice, thus, there is a great need for studying the translation of such research into settings where the majority of obstetric care is provided.

摘要

背景

在美国,引产率呈上升趋势,从1990年的9.5%增至2004年的22.1%。虽然尚不完全清楚这些引产中有多少是选择性的(即无医学指征),但引产的总体发生率上升速度快于因妊娠并发症而进行医学指征性引产的发生率。然而,引产对母婴的影响尚不清楚。许多研究将引产妇女与自然分娩妇女进行比较。这存在问题,因为在足月妊娠妇女的管理过程中的任何时候,临床医生都可在引产和期待管理之间做出选择,而非自然分娩。妊娠的期待管理包括在任何特定时间不进行干预,让妊娠进展到未来的孕周。因此,接受期待管理的妇女可能会自然分娩,或在未来孕周需要进行指征性引产。

目的

斯坦福大学-加州大学旧金山分校循证实践中心研究了以下四个关键问题的证据:哪些证据描述了选择性引产与期待管理相比的母体风险?哪些证据描述了选择性引产与期待管理相比的胎儿/新生儿风险?哪些身体状况/患者特征可预测引产成功?引产失败如何定义?

方法

我们进行了一项系统综述以回答这些关键问题。我们检索了MEDLINE(1966 - 2007年)、先前系统综述的参考文献以及纳入研究的参考文献,以查找关于选择性引产后母婴结局的英文研究。我们评估了纳入研究的质量。在可能的情况下,我们使用随机效应模型综合研究数据。我们还使用决策分析模型评估了在妊娠41、40和39周时选择性引产与妊娠期待管理相比的潜在临床结局和成本效益。

结果

我们的检索识别出3722篇可能相关的文章,其中76篇符合纳入标准。9项随机对照试验比较了期待管理与选择性引产。我们发现,总体而言,妊娠期待管理与剖宫产几率比选择性引产高约22%相关(比值比1.22,95%置信区间1.07 - 1.39;绝对风险差异1.9,95%置信区间:0.2 - 3.7%)。这些研究中的大多数针对妊娠41周及以上的妇女(比值比1.21,95%置信区间1.01 - 1.46)。在妊娠41周及以上妇女的研究中,由于研究的规模和数量以及结果的一致性,证据被评为中等质量。在妊娠小于41周的妇女中,有三项试验报告称引产妇女与期待管理妇女的剖宫产风险无差异(比值比1.73;95%置信区间:0.67 - 4.5,P = 0.26),但所有这些试验规模小、非美国研究、年代久远且质量差。当我们按国家分层分析时,我们发现在美国以外进行的研究中,期待管理的妇女剖宫产几率比选择性引产的妇女高(比值比1.22;95%置信区间1.05 - 1.40),但在美国进行的研究中无统计学差异(比值比1.28;95%置信区间0.65 - 2.49)。期待管理的妇女羊水粪染的可能性也比选择性引产的妇女高(比值比2.04;95%置信区间:1.34 - 3.09)。观察性研究报告称,自然分娩妇女的剖宫产风险(6%)始终低于选择性引产妇女(8%),合并后有统计学显著降低(比值比0.63;95%置信区间:0.49 - 0.79),但同样使用了错误的对照组且未适当调整孕周。我们发现中等至高质量的证据表明,产次增加、用较高的 Bishop 评分评估的宫颈状况更有利以及孕周减小与引产成功相关(58%的纳入研究将成功定义为引产开始后任何时间实现阴道分娩;在这些情况下,引产导致剖宫产时则视为失败)。在决策分析模型中,我们采用了双臂剖宫产无差异的基线假设,因为在美国研究中或妊娠41 0/7周之前的妇女中无统计学显著差异。在每个模型中,根据总质量调整生命年(QALY)以及肩难产、胎粪吸入综合征和先兆子痫等特定围产期结局的减少情况估计,选择性引产的妇女在母亲和新生儿方面的总体结局更好。此外,妊娠41周选择性引产时引产的成本效益为每QALY 10,789美元,妊娠40周时为每QALY 9,932美元,妊娠39周时为每QALY 20,222美元,成本效益阈值为每QALY 50,000美元。在妊娠41周时,这些结果在单变量和多因素敏感性分析的假设范围内变化时通常较为稳健。然而,妊娠40周和39周时成本效益的结果对假设范围不稳健。此外,一些模型输入的证据强度较低,因此我们的分析是探索性而非确定性的。

结论

随机对照试验表明,妊娠41周及以后的选择性引产可能与剖宫产风险和羊水粪染风险的降低相关。妊娠41周之前选择性引产的证据不足以得出任何结论。在前瞻性随机对照试验中,关于选择性引产背景下其他母婴结局的信息匮乏。观察性研究发现选择性引产的剖宫产率较高,但将引产妇女与自然分娩妇女进行比较,且存在潜在的混杂偏倚,尤其是孕周方面的偏倚。此类研究无法回答选择性引产如何影响母婴结局的问题。妊娠41周及可能更早的选择性引产似乎也是一种具有成本效益的干预措施,但由于需要更多数据来完善这些模型,我们的分析并非确定性的。尽管有上述前瞻性随机对照试验的证据,但对于将这些结果转化为实际临床实践仍存在担忧,因此,非常需要研究如何将此类研究转化应用于提供大多数产科护理的环境中。

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