Sinclair A R, Gosline J M, Holdsworth G, Krebs C J, Boutin S, Smith J N, Boonstra R, Dale M
Am Nat. 1993 Feb;141(2):173-98. doi: 10.1086/285468.
Dark marks in the rings of white spruce less than 50 yr old in Yukon, Canada, are correlated with the number of stems browsed by snowshoe hares. The frequency of these marks is positively correlated with the density of hares in the same region. The frequency of marks in trees germinating between 1751 and 1983 is positively correlated with the hare fur records of the Hudson Bay Company. Both tree marks and hare numbers are correlated with sunspot numbers, and there is a 10-yr periodicity in the correlograms. Phase analysis shows that tree marks and sunspot numbers have periods of nearly constant phase difference during the years 1751-1787, 1838-1870, and 1948 to the present, and these periods coincide with those of high sunspot maxima. The nearly constant phase relations between the annual net snow accumulation on Mount Logan and (1) tree mark ratios, (2) hare fur records before about 1895, and (3) sunspot number during periods of high amplitude in the cycles suggest there is a solar cycle-climate-hare population and tree mark link. We suggest four ways of testing this hypothesis.
加拿大育空地区树龄小于50年的白云杉年轮中的暗斑,与白靴兔啃食的茎干数量相关。这些暗斑的出现频率与同一地区野兔的密度呈正相关。1751年至1983年间发芽的树木上暗斑的频率,与哈德逊湾公司的野兔皮毛记录呈正相关。树木上的暗斑和野兔数量都与太阳黑子数相关,并且在相关图中有10年的周期性。相位分析表明,在1751 - 1787年、1838 - 1870年以及1948年至今,树木暗斑和太阳黑子数具有几乎恒定的相位差周期,并且这些周期与太阳黑子极大值的高值期相吻合。洛根山上年净积雪量与(1)树木暗斑比率、(2)1895年之前的野兔皮毛记录以及(3)高振幅周期期间的太阳黑子数之间几乎恒定的相位关系表明,存在太阳周期 - 气候 - 野兔种群和树木暗斑之间的联系。我们提出了四种检验这一假设的方法。