Wurzbach M E
University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh.
Nurs Forum. 1991;26(3):27-34. doi: 10.1111/j.1744-6198.1991.tb00887.x.
Judgment is an important aspect of nursing practice. This author provides an historical overview of judgment theory, research evidence of the heuristics and biases used by decision makers in their judgments, and a discussion of the fallibility of inferred knowledge--with an emphasis on overconfidence as a primary bias in judgment. The content includes also suggestions for improving judgments, and the implications of normative and non-normative judgment models for nursing.
判断力是护理实践的一个重要方面。本文作者提供了判断力理论的历史概述、决策者在判断中使用的启发式方法和偏差的研究证据，以及对推断性知识易出错性的讨论——重点强调过度自信是判断中的主要偏差。内容还包括改善判断的建议，以及规范性和非规范性判断模型对护理的影响。
