Perkins Jessica M, Khan Kashif T, Subramanian S V
Department of Health Policy, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
PLoS One. 2009 May 21;4(5):e5648. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0005648.
While the estimated prevalence of HIV in India experienced a downward revision in 2007, the patterning and distribution of HIV in the population remains unclear. We examined the individual and state-level socioeconomic patterning of individual HIV status among adult men and women in India as well as the patterning of other individual demographic and behavioral determinants of HIV status.
METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We conducted logistic regression models accounting for the survey design using nationally representative, cross-sectional data on 100,030 women and men from the 2005-2006 India National Family Health survey which, for the first time, provided objective assessments of HIV seroprevalence. Although there was a weak relationship between household wealth and risk of being HIV-positive, there was a clear negative relationship between individual education attainment and risk of being HIV-positive among both men and women. A 1000 Rupee change in the per capita net state domestic product was associated with a 4% and 5% increase in the risk for positive HIV status among men and women, respectively. State-level income inequality was associated with increased risk of HIV for men. Marital status and selected sexual behavior indicators were significant predictors of HIV status among women whereas the age effect was the most dominant predictor of HIV infection among men.
CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: Although the prevalence of HIV in India is low, the lack of strong wealth patterning in the risk of HIV suggests a more generalized distribution of HIV risk than some of India's high-risk group HIV prevention policies have assumed. The positive association between state economic development and individual risk for HIV is intriguing and requires further scrutiny.
虽然印度估计的艾滋病毒流行率在2007年有所下调,但艾滋病毒在人群中的模式和分布仍不明确。我们研究了印度成年男性和女性中个人艾滋病毒感染状况的个体及邦层面的社会经济模式,以及艾滋病毒感染状况的其他个体人口统计学和行为决定因素的模式。
方法/主要发现:我们使用来自2005 - 2006年印度全国家庭健康调查的具有全国代表性的横断面数据,对100,030名男女进行了逻辑回归模型分析,该调查首次提供了艾滋病毒血清流行率的客观评估。虽然家庭财富与艾滋病毒呈阳性风险之间的关系较弱,但男女的个人教育程度与艾滋病毒呈阳性风险之间存在明显的负相关关系。邦人均国内生产总值每变化1000卢比,男性和女性艾滋病毒呈阳性状态的风险分别增加4%和5%。邦层面的收入不平等与男性艾滋病毒感染风险增加有关。婚姻状况和选定的性行为指标是女性艾滋病毒感染状况的重要预测因素,而年龄效应是男性艾滋病毒感染最主要的预测因素。
结论/意义:虽然印度的艾滋病毒流行率较低,但艾滋病毒风险缺乏明显的财富模式表明,艾滋病毒风险的分布比印度一些针对高危人群的艾滋病毒预防政策所设想的更为普遍。邦经济发展与个人艾滋病毒风险之间的正相关关系很有趣,需要进一步审查。