Raĭkhlin N T, Perevoshchikov A G, Cherkes V L, Knysh V I, Katenkamp D, Orekhova L N, Glazkova T G
Arkh Patol. 1991;53(8):8-14.
Multifactorial analysis of the prognostic diagnosis of 39 main clinical, morphological and ultrastructural traits in 109 patients with rectum carcinoma is performed on the basis of computer EC-1045/230 program and algorithmic complex. The optimal complex of the traits is established possessing the maximum information value for prognosis of the 2-, 3- and 5-year survival of patients with this tumour. Three rules are formed for the individual prognosis of a favourable and unfavourable issue of the disease after the radical surgery. The value (in %) of these rules for the prognosis was determined: 79,86 and 92% for the 2-, 3- and 5-year survival, respectively. This is the precision with which one or another prognosis can be predicted.
基于计算机EC - 1045/230程序和算法组合，对109例直肠癌患者的39项主要临床、形态学和超微结构特征进行预后诊断的多因素分析。确定了具有最大信息价值的特征最优组合，用于预测该肿瘤患者2年、3年和5年生存率。形成了三条规则，用于对根治性手术后疾病预后的有利和不利情况进行个体预后判断。确定了这些规则对预后的价值（百分比）：2年、3年和5年生存率分别为79%、86%和92%。这就是可以预测某种预后的精确程度。
