Alonzo Todd A
Division of Biostatistics, University of Southern California Keck School of Medicine, 440 E. Huntington Dr, 4th floor, Arcadia, CA 91006, USA.
Biom J. 2009 Jun;51(3):491-503. doi: 10.1002/bimj.200800159.
The sensitivity and specificity of a new medical device are often compared relative to that of an existing device by calculating ratios of sensitivities and specificities. Although it would be ideal for all study subjects to receive the gold standard so true disease status was known for all subjects, it is often not feasible or ethical to obtain disease status for everyone. This paper proposes two unpaired designs where each subject is only administered one of the devices and device results dictate which subjects are to receive disease verification. Estimators of the ratio of accuracy and corresponding confidence intervals are proposed for these designs as well as sample size formulae. Simulation studies are performed to investigate the small sample bias of the estimators and the performance of the variance estimators and sample size formulae. The sample size formulae are applied to the design of a cervical cancer study to compare the accuracy of a new device with the conventional Pap smear.
新医疗设备的灵敏度和特异性通常通过计算灵敏度和特异性的比率与现有设备进行比较。虽然理想情况下所有研究对象都应接受金标准检测,以便知晓所有对象的真实疾病状态,但对每个人都获取疾病状态往往不可行或不符合伦理。本文提出了两种非配对设计,其中每个对象仅接受一种设备检测,设备检测结果决定哪些对象接受疾病验证。针对这些设计提出了准确性比率的估计量及相应的置信区间,以及样本量公式。进行了模拟研究以调查估计量的小样本偏差以及方差估计量和样本量公式的性能。样本量公式应用于一项宫颈癌研究的设计,以比较一种新设备与传统巴氏涂片的准确性。