Barth Shannon K, Kang Han K, Bullman Tim A, Wallin Mitchell T
Department of Veterans Affairs, Environmental Epidemiology Service, Washington, District of Columbia 20420, USA.
Am J Ind Med. 2009 Sep;52(9):663-70. doi: 10.1002/ajim.20718.
This study focuses on long-term mortality, specifically brain cancer, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), Parkinson's disease, and multiple sclerosis (MS) of 621,902 veterans who served in the 1990-1991 Persian Gulf War (GW), and 746,248 non-GW veterans.
Follow-up began with the date the veteran left the GW theater or May 1, 1991 and ended with the date of death or December 31, 2004. Cox proportional hazard models were used for analyses.
Adjusted mortality rate ratios (aRR) of GW veterans compared to non-GW veterans were not statistically significant for brain cancer (aRR = 0.90, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.73, 1.11), MS (aRR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.23, 1.63), Parkinson's disease (aRR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.17, 2.99), or ALS (aRR = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.56, 1.62). GW veterans potentially exposed to nerve agents for 2 or more days and GW veterans exposed to oil well fire smoke were at increased risk for brain cancer mortality (aRR = 2.71, 95% CI: 1.25, 5.87; aRR = 1.81, 95% CI: 1.00, 3.27; respectively).
The risk of death due to ALS, MS, Parkinson's disease, and brain cancer was not associated with 1991 GW service in general. However, GW veterans potentially exposed to nerve agents at Khamisiyah, Iraq, and to oil well fire smoke had an increased risk of mortality due to brain cancer.
本研究聚焦于621,902名曾参加1990 - 1991年海湾战争(GW)的退伍军人以及746,248名非海湾战争退伍军人的长期死亡率,尤其是脑癌、肌萎缩侧索硬化症(ALS)、帕金森病和多发性硬化症(MS)。
随访从退伍军人离开海湾战争战区的日期或1991年5月1日开始,至死亡日期或2004年12月31日结束。采用Cox比例风险模型进行分析。
与非海湾战争退伍军人相比,海湾战争退伍军人患脑癌(调整后死亡率比[aRR]=0.90,95%置信区间[CI]:0.73, 1.11)、MS(aRR = 0.61,95% CI:0.23, 1.63)、帕金森病(aRR = 0.71,95% CI:0.17, 2.99)或ALS(aRR = 0.96,95% CI:0.56, 1.62)的调整后死亡率比无统计学显著差异。曾可能接触神经毒剂达2天或更长时间的海湾战争退伍军人以及接触油井火灾烟雾的海湾战争退伍军人患脑癌死亡的风险增加(aRR分别为2.71,95% CI:1.25, 5.87;aRR = 1.81,95% CI:1.00, 3.27)。
总体而言,ALS、MS、帕金森病和脑癌导致的死亡风险与1991年海湾战争服役无关。然而,曾在伊拉克哈米西耶可能接触神经毒剂以及接触油井火灾烟雾的海湾战争退伍军人因脑癌导致的死亡风险增加。