Copeland Craig
EBRI (Employee Benefit Research Institute), USA.
EBRI Issue Brief. 2009 Aug(333):4-34, 1.
This Issue Brief assesses the current status of Americans' savings for retirement by examining the incidence of individual account plans among families, as well as the average amount of assets accumulated in these accounts. The 2007 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), the Federal Reserve Board's triennial survey of wealth, is the basis for this study, as it is a leading source of data on Americans' wealth, provides detailed information on retirement plan incidence and account balances among families, and is the latest available. ACCOUNTING FOR THE ECONOMIC DOWNTURN: While 2007 SCF is the most comprehensive and current survey of Americans' finances, its timing was unfortunate due to the significant downturn in the economy in 2008 just after the survey was released. To account for that change, this analysis provides estimates of the changes in asset values from the end of 2007 to mid-June 2009 for individual account plan balances. The account balances of the defined contribution plans and IRAs are adjusted based on the asset allocation reported within the plans by using equity market returns and bond market returns from January 1, 2008, to June 19, 2009. MEDIAN ASSET LEVELS FOR DEFINED CONTRIBUTION PLANS: Among all families with a defined contribution plan in 2007, the median (mid-point) plan balance was $31,800, up 16 percent from 2004. According to EBRI estimates, this dropped 16.4 percent (to $26,578) from year-end 2007 to mid-June 2009. Losses were higher for families with more than $100,000 a year in income (down 22 percent) or having a net worth in the top 10 percent (down 28 percent). MEDIAN ASSET LEVELS FOR IRA/KEOGH PLANS: Among all families with an IRA/Keogh plan, the median value of their plan was $34,000 in 2007, up 3 percent from 2004. EBRI estimates this median value dropped 15 percent (to $28,955) from year-end 2007 to mid-June 2009. LESS THAN HALF OF ALL FAMILIES HAVE A RETIREMENT PLAN THROUGH A CURRENT JOB: In 2007, 40.6 percent of families included a participant in an employment-based retirement plan (either a defined benefit or defined contribution plan) from a current job. This was up from 38.8 percent in 1992, but virtually unchanged from 40.3 percent in 2004. A significant shift in the plan type occurred from 1992 to 2007, with the percentage of families with a plan having only a defined benefit plan decreasing from 40.0 percent to 17.4 percent. TWO-THIRDS OF ALL FAMILIES HAVE AN IRA/KEOGH OR RETIREMENT PLAN THROUGH PAST AND CURRENT JOBS: In 2007, 66.2 percent of families had a participant in a current or previous employer's retirement plan or an IRA/Keogh, up slightly from 2004 (65.4 percent). IRA/KEOGH OWNERSHIP RISING: The percentage of families that owned either an individual retirement account or a Keogh plan increased in 2007 to 30.6 percent from 29.1 percent in 2004. IRA OWNERSHIP, ASSETS: While regular IRAs account for the largest percentage of IRA ownership, rollover IRAs had a larger share of assets than regular IRAs in 2007. The increase in IRA wealth is expected to continue in the future, as more workers will be in defined contribution plans and will be in them for a longer period of their working lives.
最新消费者财务状况调查(SCF)数据:本简报通过考察家庭中个人账户计划的发生率以及这些账户中积累的资产平均金额,评估美国人退休储蓄的现状。2007年消费者财务状况调查(SCF)是美联储委员会每三年进行一次的财富调查,是本研究的基础,因为它是美国人财富数据的主要来源,提供了家庭退休计划发生率和账户余额的详细信息,并且是最新可得的数据。
虽然2007年SCF是对美国人财务状况最全面、最新的调查,但由于调查发布后2008年经济大幅衰退,其时间点不太幸运。为考虑这一变化,本分析提供了从2007年底到2009年6月中旬个人账户计划余额资产价值变化的估计。固定缴款计划和个人退休账户(IRA)的账户余额根据2008年1月1日至2009年6月19日的股票市场回报和债券市场回报,按照计划内报告的资产配置进行调整。
在2007年拥有固定缴款计划的所有家庭中,计划余额中位数为31,800美元,比2004年增长了16%。根据员工福利研究协会(EBRI)的估计,从2007年底到2009年6月中旬,这一数字下降了16.4%(降至26,578美元)。年收入超过10万美元的家庭损失更高(下降22%),或者净资产处于前10%的家庭损失更高(下降28%)。
个人退休账户/基奥计划(IRA/Keogh)的资产中位数水平:在所有拥有IRA/Keogh计划的家庭中,2007年其计划的中位数价值为34,000美元,比2004年增长了3%。EBRI估计,从2007年底到2009年6月中旬,这一中位数价值下降了15%(降至28,955美元)。
2007年,40.6%的家庭中有一名参与者参加了当前工作单位的基于就业的退休计划(固定收益计划或固定缴款计划)。这一比例高于1992年的38.8%,但与2004年的40.3%几乎没有变化。从1992年到2007年,计划类型发生了显著变化,拥有仅固定收益计划的家庭比例从40.0%降至17.4%。
三分之二的家庭通过过去和当前工作拥有IRA/Keogh计划或退休计划:2007年,66.2%的家庭中有一名参与者参加了当前或以前雇主的退休计划或拥有IRA/Keogh计划,略高于2004年(65.4%)。
IRA/Keogh计划拥有率上升:拥有个人退休账户或基奥计划的家庭比例在2007年从2004年的29.1%上升至30.6%。
IRA的拥有情况与资产:虽然普通IRA在IRA拥有量中占比最大,但2007年转滚IRA的资产份额大于普通IRA。随着更多工人将参加固定缴款计划并在更长工作年限内持有该计划,预计IRA财富在未来将继续增加。