Cao Junshan, Li Weihua, Tan Jianguo, Song Weimin, Xu Xiaohui, Jiang Cheng, Chen Guohai, Chen Renjie, Ma Wenjuan, Chen Bingheng, Kan Haidong
School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2009 Oct 15;407(21):5531-6. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2009.07.021. Epub 2009 Aug 8.
Few studies exist in China examining the association of ambient air pollution with morbidity outcomes. We conducted a time-series analysis to examine the association of outdoor air pollutants (PM(10), SO(2), and NO(2)) with hospital outpatient and emergency room visits in Shanghai, China, using 3 years of daily data (2005-2007). Hospital and air pollution data were collected from the Shanghai Health Insurance Bureau and Shanghai Environmental Monitoring Center. Using a natural spline model, we examined effect of air pollutants with different lag structures including both single-day lag and multi-day lag. We examined effects of air pollution for the warm season (from April to September) and cool season (from October to March) separately. We found outdoor air pollution (SO(2) and NO(2)) was associated with increased risk of hospital outpatient and emergency room visits in Shanghai. The effect estimates varied for different lag structures of pollutants' concentrations. For lag 3, a 10 microg/m(3) increase in concentration of PM(10), SO(2) and NO(2) corresponded to 0.11% (95%CI: -0.03%, 0.26%), 0.34% (95%CI: 0.06%, 0.61%) and 0.55% (95%CI: 0.14%, 0.97%) increase of outpatient visit; and 0.01% (95%CI: -0.09%, 0.10%), 0.17% (95%CI: 0.00%, 0.35%) and 0.08% (95%CI: -0.18%, 0.33%) increase of emergency room visit. The associations appeared to be more evident in the cool season than in the warm season. In conclusion, short-term exposure to outdoor air pollution was associated with increased risk of hospital outpatient and emergency room visits in Shanghai. Our analyses provide evidence that the current air pollution level has an adverse health effect and strengthen the rationale for further limiting air pollution levels in the city.
在中国,很少有研究探讨环境空气污染与发病结果之间的关联。我们进行了一项时间序列分析,利用3年的每日数据(2005 - 2007年),研究中国上海室外空气污染物(PM10、SO2和NO2)与医院门诊和急诊就诊之间的关联。医院和空气污染数据分别来自上海市医疗保险局和上海市环境监测中心。我们使用自然样条模型,研究了不同滞后结构(包括单日滞后和多日滞后)的空气污染物的影响。我们分别研究了温暖季节(4月至9月)和凉爽季节(10月至3月)空气污染的影响。我们发现,上海室外空气污染(SO2和NO2)与医院门诊和急诊就诊风险增加有关。污染物浓度不同滞后结构的效应估计有所不同。对于滞后3天,PM10、SO2和NO2浓度每增加10微克/立方米,门诊就诊量分别增加0.11%(95%CI:-0.03%,0.26%)、0.34%(95%CI:0.06%,0.61%)和0.55%(95%CI:0.14%,0.97%);急诊就诊量分别增加0.01%(95%CI:-0.09%,0.10%)、0.17%(95%CI:0.00%,0.35%)和0.08%(95%CI:-0.18%,0.33%)。这种关联在凉爽季节似乎比温暖季节更明显。总之,短期暴露于室外空气污染与上海医院门诊和急诊就诊风险增加有关。我们的分析提供了证据,表明当前的空气污染水平对健康有不利影响,并加强了进一步限制该市空气污染水平的理由。