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旅行时间节省价值的国际荟萃分析。

An international meta-analysis of values of travel time savings.

作者信息

Shires J D, de Jong G C

机构信息

Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK.

出版信息

Eval Program Plann. 2009 Nov;32(4):315-25. doi: 10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2009.06.010. Epub 2009 Jun 26.

Abstract

Values of travel time savings are often used in cost-benefit analysis of transport projects and policies, and also to compute generalised travel costs. There has been considerable debate as to whether different research methods (e.g. stated versus revealed preference) will lead to different values of travel time savings, and which segmentations (e.g. by income or mode) are most important to capture the heterogeneity in these values. In addition there are many countries where no specific valuation studies have been done. In this paper new equations are estimated on the outcomes of value of travel time savings studies from various countries. In the data set, several countries appear more than once, which is taken into account by estimating random effects panel models. The meta-analysis sheds some new light on the variation of the value of travel time savings by income, country, travel purpose, mode, distance and by survey method. Furthermore, the resulting meta-models are applied to produce new values of travel time savings for business travel, commuting and for other purposes in passenger transport, for 25 European Union Member states. Similar methods could be used to statistically analyse studies carried out on other non-monetary effects, both for transport and non-transport projects, and for inclusion in cost-benefit analysis.

摘要

出行时间节省价值常用于交通项目和政策的成本效益分析,也用于计算广义出行成本。关于不同的研究方法(如陈述偏好法与显示偏好法)是否会导致不同的出行时间节省价值,以及哪种细分方式(如按收入或出行方式)对于捕捉这些价值的异质性最为重要,一直存在大量争论。此外,有许多国家尚未开展具体的估值研究。本文根据各国出行时间节省价值研究的结果估计了新的方程。在数据集中,有几个国家出现了不止一次,通过估计随机效应面板模型对此进行了考虑。荟萃分析为出行时间节省价值在收入、国家、出行目的、出行方式、距离和调查方法方面的变化提供了一些新的见解。此外,所得的荟萃模型被用于为25个欧盟成员国的商务出行、通勤及其他客运目的生成新的出行时间节省价值。类似的方法可用于对交通和非交通项目的其他非货币效应进行统计分析,并纳入成本效益分析。

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