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在随机对照试验中,基线协变量的处理存在很大且令人困惑的差异:对主要医学期刊发表的试验的综述。

A substantial and confusing variation exists in handling of baseline covariates in randomized controlled trials: a review of trials published in leading medical journals.

机构信息

Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, G1 06, 2075 Bayview Avenue, Toronto, Ontario M4N 3M5, Canada.

出版信息

J Clin Epidemiol. 2010 Feb;63(2):142-53. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2009.06.002. Epub 2009 Aug 27.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Statisticians have criticized the use of significance testing to compare the distribution of baseline covariates between treatment groups in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Furthermore, some have advocated for the use of regression adjustment to estimate the effect of treatment after adjusting for potential imbalances in prognostically important baseline covariates between treatment groups.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We examined 114 RCTs published in the New England Journal of Medicine, the Journal of the American Medical Association, The Lancet, and the British Medical Journal between January 1, 2007 and June 30, 2007.

RESULTS

Significance testing was used to compare baseline characteristics between treatment arms in 38% of the studies. The practice was very rare in British journals and more common in the U.S. journals. In 29% of the studies, the primary outcome was continuous, whereas in 65% of the studies, the primary outcome was either dichotomous or time-to-event in nature. Adjustment for baseline covariates was reported when estimating the treatment effect in 34% of the studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest the need for greater editorial consistency across journals in the reporting of RCTs. Furthermore, there is a need for greater debate about the relative merits of unadjusted vs. adjusted estimates of treatment effect.

摘要

目的

统计学家批评了在随机对照试验(RCT)中使用显著性检验来比较处理组之间基线协变量的分布。此外,一些人主张使用回归调整来估计治疗效果,在调整处理组之间预后重要的基线协变量的潜在不平衡后。

研究设计和设置

我们检查了 2007 年 1 月 1 日至 6 月 30 日期间在《新英格兰医学杂志》、《美国医学会杂志》、《柳叶刀》和《英国医学杂志》上发表的 114 项 RCT。

结果

在 38%的研究中,使用显著性检验来比较处理臂之间的基线特征。这种做法在英国期刊中非常罕见,而在美国期刊中更为常见。在 29%的研究中,主要结局是连续的,而在 65%的研究中,主要结局是二分类或时间事件性质的。在 34%的研究中,报告了在估计治疗效果时对基线协变量进行调整。

结论

我们的发现表明需要在报告 RCT 方面在期刊之间有更大的编辑一致性。此外,还需要就未经调整与调整后的治疗效果估计值的相对优点进行更多的辩论。

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