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器械诊断与接受心脏再同步治疗患者的长期临床预后。

Device diagnostics and long-term clinical outcome in patients receiving cardiac resynchronization therapy.

机构信息

Cardiac Arrhythmia Service, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, 55 Fruit Street, Boston, MA 02114-2696, USA.

出版信息

Europace. 2009 Dec;11(12):1647-53. doi: 10.1093/europace/eup250. Epub 2009 Sep 13.

Abstract

AIMS

This retrospective analysis sought to develop and validate a model using the measured diagnostic variables in cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) devices to predict mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data used in this analysis came from two CRT studies: Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Registry Evaluating Patient Response with RENEWAL Family Devices (CRT RENEWAL) (n = 436) and Heart Failure-Heart Rate Variability (HF-HRV) (n = 838). Patients from CRT RENEWAL were used to create a model for risk of death using logistic regression and to create a scoring system that could be used to predict mortality. Results of both the logistic regression and the clinical risk score were validated in a cohort of patients from the HF-HRV study. Diagnostics significantly improved over time post-CRT implant (all P < 0.001) and were correlated with a trend of decreased risk of death. The regression model classified CRT RENEWAL patients into low (2.8%), moderate (6.9%), and high (13.8%) risk of death based on tertiles of their model predicted risk. The clinical risk score classified CRT RENEWAL patients into low (2.8%), moderate (10.1%), and high (13.4%) risk of death based on tertiles of their score. When both the regression model and the clinical risk score were applied to the HF-HRV study, each was able to classify patients into appropriate levels of risk.

CONCLUSION

Device diagnostics may be used to create models that predict the risk of death.

摘要

目的

本回顾性分析旨在开发和验证一种模型,该模型使用心脏再同步治疗(CRT)设备中的测量诊断变量来预测死亡率。

方法和结果

本分析中使用的数据来自两项 CRT 研究:心脏再同步治疗注册评估患者对 RENEWAL 系列设备的反应(CRT RENEWAL)(n = 436)和心力衰竭-心率变异性(HF-HRV)(n = 838)。CRT RENEWAL 的患者用于使用逻辑回归创建死亡风险模型,并创建一个评分系统,用于预测死亡率。逻辑回归和临床风险评分的结果均在 HF-HRV 研究的患者队列中得到验证。诊断在 CRT 植入后随时间显著改善(均 P < 0.001),并与死亡率降低的趋势相关。回归模型根据模型预测风险的三分位数将 CRT RENEWAL 患者分为低(2.8%)、中(6.9%)和高(13.8%)死亡风险。临床风险评分根据评分的三分位数将 CRT RENEWAL 患者分为低(2.8%)、中(10.1%)和高(13.4%)死亡风险。当回归模型和临床风险评分都应用于 HF-HRV 研究时,每个模型都能够将患者分类到适当的风险水平。

结论

设备诊断可能用于创建预测死亡率的模型。

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