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2009年甲型H1N1流感大流行对瑞典社会的经济影响——初步结果

Economic consequences to society of pandemic H1N1 influenza 2009 - preliminary results for Sweden.

作者信息

Brouwers L, Cakici B, Camitz M, Tegnell A, Boman M

机构信息

Swedish Institute for Infectious Disease Control (Smittskyddsinstitutet, SMI), Solna, Sweden.

出版信息

Euro Surveill. 2009 Sep 17;14(37):19333. doi: 10.2807/ese.14.37.19333-en.

Abstract

Experiments using a microsimulation platform show that vaccination against pandemic H1N1 influenza is highly cost-effective. Swedish society may reduce the costs of pandemic by about SEK 2.5 billion (approximately EUR 250 million) if at least 60 per cent of the population is vaccinated, even if costs related to death cases are excluded. The cost reduction primarily results from reduced absenteeism. These results are preliminary and based on comprehensive assumptions about the infectiousness and morbidity of the pandemic, which are uncertain in the current situation.

摘要

使用微观模拟平台进行的实验表明,接种甲型H1N1流感大流行疫苗具有很高的成本效益。如果至少60%的人口接种疫苗,瑞典社会可能会将大流行的成本降低约25亿瑞典克朗(约合2.5亿欧元),即使不考虑与死亡病例相关的成本。成本降低主要源于旷工率的降低。这些结果是初步的,基于对大流行的传染性和发病率的全面假设,而这些假设在当前情况下并不确定。

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