Institute for Biometrics and Clinical Epidemiology, Charité - University Medicine, DE-10098 Berlin, Germany.
Eur Addict Res. 2009;15(4):216-23. doi: 10.1159/000239415. Epub 2009 Sep 18.
This paper examines changes in alcohol consumption in Denmark between 2003 and 2006 after the excise tax on spirits in Denmark was lowered by 45% on October 1, 2003 and travelers' allowances for the import of alcohol were increased on January 1, 2004.
Cross-sectional and panel data from Denmark from 2003 to 2006 were analyzed. Samples were collected by telephone interviews using random digit dialing.
Panel data for Denmark revealed that alcohol consumption remained relatively stable. Similar results were found in the Danish cross-sectional data. It appears that 'substitution' rather than increased importation occurred.
We found no evidence to support earlier research stating that decreased prices and increased availability is related to higher alcohol consumption. This could be partly because (1) Denmark has reached a 'saturation' level of consumption over the past 30 years and (2) the survey mode of data collection did not capture specific subpopulations who might have increased their consumption. It may be necessary to examine other indicators of alcohol use or alcohol-related harm in order to fully assess the consequences of such changes in alcohol availability.
本文考察了 2003 年 10 月 1 日丹麦将烈酒消费税降低 45%以及 2004 年 1 月 1 日提高旅行者进口酒类免税额度后,2003 年至 2006 年期间丹麦的酒精消费变化情况。
分析了 2003 年至 2006 年丹麦的横断面和面板数据。通过随机数字拨号进行电话访谈收集样本。
丹麦的面板数据显示,酒精消费保持相对稳定。丹麦的横断面数据也得出了类似的结果。这表明发生的是“替代”而不是进口增加。
我们没有发现证据支持先前的研究,即价格下降和供应增加与更高的酒精消费有关。这可能部分是因为(1)丹麦在过去 30 年中已经达到了消费的“饱和”水平,(2)数据收集的调查模式没有捕捉到可能增加消费的特定亚人群。为了全面评估酒精供应变化的后果,可能有必要检查其他酒精使用或与酒精相关的伤害指标。