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RIFLE分级作为入住重症监护病房的肝硬化患者死亡率的预测因素

RIFLE classification as predictive factor of mortality in patients with cirrhosis admitted to intensive care unit.

作者信息

Cholongitas Evangelos, Calvaruso Vincenza, Senzolo Marco, Patch David, Shaw Steve, O'Beirne James, Burroughs Andrew K

机构信息

The Royal Free Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre and Department of Surgery, Royal Free Hospital, Hampstead, London NW3 2QG, UK.

出版信息

J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2009 Oct;24(10):1639-47. doi: 10.1111/j.1440-1746.2009.05908.x.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIM

To evaluate the association of the Risk, Injury, Failure, Loss and End-stage renal failure (RIFLE) score on mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis admitted to intensive care unit (ICU).

METHODS

A cohort of 412 patients with cirrhosis consecutively admitted to ICU was classified according to the RIFLE score. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the factors associated with mortality. Liver-specific, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and RIFLE scores on admission, were compared by receiver-operator characteristic curves.

RESULTS

The overall mortality during ICU stay or within 6 weeks after discharge from ICU was 61.2%, but decreased over time (76% during first interval, 1989-1992 vs 50% during the last, 2005-2006, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that RIFLE score (odds ratio: 2.1, P < 0.001) was an independent factor significantly associated with mortality. Although SOFA had the best discrimination (area under receiver-operator characteristic curve = 0.84), and the APACHE II had the best calibration, the RIFLE score had the best sensitivity (90%) to predict death in patients during follow up.

CONCLUSIONS

RIFLE score was significantly associated with mortality, confirming the importance of renal failure in this large cohort of patients with cirrhosis admitted to ICU, but it is less useful than other scores.

摘要

背景与目的

评估风险、损伤、衰竭、失代偿及终末期肾衰竭(RIFLE)评分与入住重症监护病房(ICU)的失代偿期肝硬化患者死亡率之间的关联。

方法

将连续入住ICU的412例肝硬化患者按照RIFLE评分进行分类。采用多变量逻辑回归分析评估与死亡率相关的因素。通过受试者工作特征曲线比较入院时的肝脏特异性、急性生理与慢性健康状况评估(APACHE)II、序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)及RIFLE评分。

结果

ICU住院期间或出院后6周内的总死亡率为61.2%,但随时间下降(1989 - 1992年第一个时间段为76%,而2005 - 2006年最后一个时间段为50%,P < 0.001)。多变量分析显示,RIFLE评分(比值比:2.1,P < 0.001)是与死亡率显著相关的独立因素。虽然SOFA具有最佳的辨别能力(受试者工作特征曲线下面积 = 0.84),且APACHE II具有最佳的校准度,但RIFLE评分在随访期间对预测患者死亡具有最佳的敏感性(90%)。

结论

RIFLE评分与死亡率显著相关,证实了肾衰竭在这一入住ICU的大量肝硬化患者队列中的重要性,但它比其他评分的作用小。

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