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肝硬化患者急性肾损伤的发病率、死亡率及预测因素:一项系统评价和荟萃分析

Incidence, Mortality and Predictors of Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

作者信息

Tariq Raseen, Hadi Yousaf, Chahal Khusdeep, Reddy Sivani, Salameh Habeeb, Singal Ashwani K

机构信息

Department of Medicine, Rochester General Hospital, Rochester, NY, USA.

Department of Medicine, University of West Virginia, Morgantown, WV, USA.

出版信息

J Clin Transl Hepatol. 2020 Jun 28;8(2):135-142. doi: 10.14218/JCTH.2019.00060. Epub 2020 May 25.

Abstract

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common in patients with cirrhosis but the incidence is heterogeneous among studies. We performed a meta-analysis to describe the incidence of AKI and its impact on patient mortality in patients with cirrhosis. We also evaluated the admission variables predicting development of AKI. A systematic search of various databases was performed up to November 2018. Meta-analyses were performed using random effects models. Of 18,474 patients with cirrhosis from 30 selected studies, 5,648 developed AKI, with a pooled incidence of 29% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 28-30%, of 99%). In-hospital mortality assessed in eight studies was six-fold higher among AKI patients, as compared to those without AKI (odds ratio [OR] 6.72, 95% CI: 3.47-13, <0.0001, of 70%). Three studies on patients admitted to intensive care showed about six-fold higher mortality among AKI patients (OR 5.90, 95% CI: 3.21-10.85, >0.0001). Mortality remained significantly high, at days 30 and 90 and even at 1-year follow up after development of AKI. Of 12 admission variables analyzed, model for end-stage liver disease score, Child-Pugh-Turcotte stage C, presence of ascites, and presence of sepsis/septic shock were statistically significant risk factors for AKI. AKI occurred in about 29% of patients with cirrhosis and is associated with a six-fold increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Mortality remained high even in long-term follow-up of 1 year. Patients at risk for AKI development can be recognized at admission. Prospective studies are needed to develop strategies for improving outcome of these patients.

摘要

急性肾损伤(AKI)在肝硬化患者中很常见,但不同研究中的发病率存在差异。我们进行了一项荟萃分析,以描述肝硬化患者中AKI的发病率及其对患者死亡率的影响。我们还评估了预测AKI发生的入院变量。截至2018年11月,我们对各种数据库进行了系统检索。使用随机效应模型进行荟萃分析。在30项选定研究中的18474例肝硬化患者中,5648例发生了AKI,合并发病率为29%(95%置信区间[CI]:28%-30%,I²=99%)。八项研究评估的住院死亡率显示,AKI患者的死亡率是未患AKI患者的六倍(优势比[OR]6.72,95%CI:3.47-13,P<0.0001,I²=70%)。三项针对重症监护病房患者开展的研究显示,AKI患者的死亡率高出约六倍(OR 5.90,95%CI:3.21-10.85,P<0.0001)。在发生AKI后的第30天、90天甚至1年随访时,死亡率仍然显著较高。在分析的12个入院变量中,终末期肝病模型评分、Child-Pugh-Turcotte C级、腹水的存在以及脓毒症/感染性休克的存在是AKI的统计学显著危险因素。约29%的肝硬化患者发生AKI,且其住院死亡风险增加了六倍。即使在长达1年的长期随访中,死亡率仍然很高。有发生AKI风险的患者在入院时即可识别。需要开展前瞻性研究以制定改善这些患者预后的策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9cf5/7438348/c5c4ff4aeb21/JCTH-8-135-g001.jpg

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