Rossegger A, Urbaniok F, Danielsson C, Endrass J
Psychiatrisch-Psychologischer Dienst, Justizvollzug Kanton Zürich.
Fortschr Neurol Psychiatr. 2009 Oct;77(10):577-84. doi: 10.1055/s-0028-1109705. Epub 2009 Oct 9.
Most instruments used for assessing the recidivism risk of an offender with a violent or sex offense have been developed and validated in North America.
The aim of this study is to discuss the state of validation for the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (VRAG)--an instrument for assessing the recidivism risk of violent offenders. A systematic literature research forms the basis for the processing of the literature. In a second section, a scientific translation of the instrument to German, including the scoring rules, is presented.
Normally, while examining the validity of the VRAG, there is a focus on the discriminatory power (displayed using the so-called Area Under the Curve [AUC]). These examinations showed a satisfactory to good discriminatory power (AUC: 0.70-- 0.86). A standardization of this instrument for populations in Europe respectively the German-speaking area has not yet taken place. Only few studies have verified whether North American standard values are also valid for Europe. The few studies on this subject question the generalizability of these standard values to other countries.
The VRAG can be considered a valid measure for the assessment of recidivism risk in Germany and in Switzerland, although so far, standardization has been dispensed with. The application of the VRAG can provide indications for the evaluation of recidivism risk and be integrated into an individual case-oriented assessment.
大多数用于评估暴力或性犯罪罪犯再犯风险的工具都是在北美开发并验证的。
本研究旨在探讨暴力风险评估指南（VRAG）——一种评估暴力罪犯再犯风险的工具——的验证情况。系统的文献研究构成了文献处理的基础。在第二部分，展示了该工具的德文科学翻译，包括评分规则。
通常，在检验VRAG的有效性时，重点在于区分能力（用所谓的曲线下面积[AUC]表示）。这些检验显示出令人满意至良好的区分能力（AUC：0.70 - 0.86）。该工具尚未针对欧洲或德语地区的人群进行标准化。只有少数研究验证了北美标准值在欧洲是否也有效。关于这个主题的少数研究对这些标准值推广到其他国家的普遍性提出了质疑。
尽管到目前为止尚未进行标准化，但VRAG可被视为评估德国和瑞士再犯风险的有效措施。VRAG的应用可为再犯风险评估提供参考，并可纳入以个案为导向的评估中。
