Institute of Statistics and Demography (Unit of Demography), Warsaw School of Economics, Al. Niepodleglosci 164, 02-554 Warsaw, Poland.
Popul Stud (Camb). 2009 Nov;63(3):253-76. doi: 10.1080/00324720903151100.
Poland experienced a rapid fertility decline after the end of the socialist regime in 1989. At the same time, it became much more difficult, especially for women, to act on their determination to find and keep paid employment. To investigate whether women postponed childbearing until they found a job, we undertook a simultaneous estimation of transitions to childbirth and entry to and exit from employment. The results reveal a strong incompatibility between childbearing and employment, but also that employment does not function as a barrier to childbearing but rather that it is an important precursor when women plan how to reconcile their intentions to work and to have children. We conclude that better prospects for women's employment could result in increased fertility.
波兰在 1989 年底社会主义制度结束后经历了快速的生育率下降。与此同时，人们，尤其是女性，更难按照自己的意愿找到并保住有薪工作。为了研究女性是否会推迟生育，直到找到工作，我们同时对生育和就业的进入与退出进行了估计。结果表明，生育和就业之间存在很强的不兼容性，但就业并不是生育的障碍，而是当女性计划如何协调工作和生育意愿时，就业是一个重要的前提。我们的结论是，改善妇女就业前景可能会导致生育率提高。
