Department of Mechanical Engineering and Materials Science, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708-0300, USA.
Comput Biol Med. 2009 Dec;39(12):1117-29. doi: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2009.09.006. Epub 2009 Oct 23.
To investigate the nature and mechanisms of decompression sickness (DCS), we developed a system for evaluating the success of decompression models in predicting DCS probability from empirical data. Model parameters were estimated using maximum likelihood techniques. Exact integrals of risk functions and tissue kinetics transition times were derived. Agreement with previously published results was excellent including: (a) maximum likelihood values within one log-likelihood unit of previous results and improvements by re-optimization; (b) mean predicted DCS incidents within 1.4% of observed DCS; and (c) time of DCS occurrence prediction. Alternative optimization and homogeneous parallel processing techniques yielded faster model optimization times.
为了研究减压病 (DCS) 的性质和机制,我们开发了一个系统,用于从经验数据评估减压模型预测 DCS 概率的成功程度。使用最大似然技术估计模型参数。得出了风险函数和组织动力学跃迁时间的精确积分。与之前发表的结果非常吻合,包括:(a) 最大似然值与之前结果相差一个对数似然单位,通过重新优化得到改进;(b) 预测的 DCS 事件平均值与观察到的 DCS 相差 1.4%;和 (c) DCS 发生时间预测。替代优化和同质并行处理技术产生了更快的模型优化时间。