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糖尿病、高血压和慢性肾脏病的筛查和优化管理的成本效益:建模分析。

Cost-effectiveness of screening and optimal management for diabetes, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease: a modeled analysis.

机构信息

School of Public Health, University of Sydney, and The Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, NSW, Australia.

出版信息

Value Health. 2010 Mar-Apr;13(2):196-208. doi: 10.1111/j.1524-4733.2009.00668.x. Epub 2009 Oct 29.


DOI:10.1111/j.1524-4733.2009.00668.x
PMID:19878493
Abstract

OBJECTIVES: Chronic kidney disease is, increasingly, both a contributor to premature deaths and a financial burden to the health system, and is estimated to affect between 10% and 15% of the adult population in Western countries. Hypertension and, in particular diabetes, are significant contributors to the global burden of chronic kidney disease. Although it might increase costs, screening for, and improved management of, persons at increased risk of progressive kidney disease could improve health outcomes. We therefore sought to estimate the costs and health outcomes of alternative strategies to prevent end-stage kidney disease, compared with usual care. METHODS: A Markov model comparing: 1) intensive management versus usual care for patients with suboptimally managed diabetes and hypertension; and 2) screening for and intensive treatment of diabetes, hypertension, and proteinuria versus usual care was developed. Intervention effectiveness was based on published meta-analyses and randomized controlled trial data; costs were measured from a central health-care funder perspective in 2008 Australian dollars ($A), and outcomes were reported in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). RESULTS: Intensive treatment of inadequately controlled diabetes was both less costly (an average lifetime saving of $A133) and more effective (with an additional 0.075 QALYs per patients) than conventional management. Intensive management of hypertension had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) $A2588 per QALY gained. Treating all known diabetics with angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors was both less costly (an average lifetime saving of $A825 per patient) and more effective than current treatment (resulting in 0.124 additional QALYs per patient). Primary care screening for 50- to 69-year-olds plus intensive treatment of diabetes had an ICER of $A13,781 per QALY gained. Primary care screening for hypertension (between ages 50 and 69 years) plus intensive blood pressure management had an ICER of $A491 per QALY gained. Primary care screening for proteinuria (between ages 50 and 69 years) combined with prescription of an ACE inhibitor for all persons showing proteinuria and all known diabetics had an ICER of $A4793 per QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: Strategies combining primary care screening of 50- to 69-year-olds for proteinuria, diabetes, and hypertension followed by the routine use of ACE inhibitors, and optimal treatment of diabetes and hypertension, respectively, have the potential to reduce death and end-stage kidney disease and are likely to represent good value for money.

摘要

目的:慢性肾病不仅导致过早死亡,还给卫生系统带来沉重的经济负担,据估计,西方国家有 10%至 15%的成年人患有此病。高血压,尤其是糖尿病,是造成全球慢性肾病负担的重要原因。虽然筛查和改善高危人群的慢性肾病进展风险的管理可能会增加成本,但它可以改善健康结果。因此,我们旨在评估与常规护理相比,预防终末期肾病的替代策略的成本和健康结果。

方法:我们开发了一个马尔可夫模型,比较了以下两种策略:1)对管理不善的糖尿病和高血压患者进行强化管理与常规护理;2)筛查和强化治疗糖尿病、高血压和蛋白尿与常规护理。干预效果基于已发表的荟萃分析和随机对照试验数据;成本从 2008 年澳大利亚元($A)的中心医疗保健资金提供者角度进行测量,结果以质量调整生命年(QALY)报告。

结果:与常规管理相比,强化治疗控制不佳的糖尿病的成本更低(每位患者终生节省$A133),效果更好(每位患者增加 0.075 个 QALY)。强化治疗高血压的增量成本效益比(ICER)为每获得一个 QALY 增加$A2588。用血管紧张素转换酶(ACE)抑制剂治疗所有已知的糖尿病患者既更便宜(每位患者终生节省$A825),又比目前的治疗效果更好(每位患者额外增加 0.124 个 QALY)。对 50 岁至 69 岁人群进行初级保健筛查,加上强化治疗糖尿病,其每获得一个 QALY 的成本效益比为$A13781。对 50 岁至 69 岁人群进行高血压初级保健筛查,加上强化血压管理,其每获得一个 QALY 的成本效益比为$A491。对 50 岁至 69 岁人群进行蛋白尿初级保健筛查,结合对所有出现蛋白尿的人和所有已知的糖尿病患者开具 ACE 抑制剂处方,其每获得一个 QALY 的成本效益比为$A4793。

结论:将初级保健筛查 50 岁至 69 岁人群的蛋白尿、糖尿病和高血压相结合,随后常规使用 ACE 抑制剂,以及分别对糖尿病和高血压进行最佳治疗,有可能降低死亡和终末期肾病的发生率,而且很可能具有良好的成本效益。

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