Palmer Andrew J, Valentine William J, Chen Roland, Mehin Nazanin, Gabriel Sylvie, Bregman Bruno, Rodby Roger A
CORE-Center for Outcomes Research, a unit of IMS Health, Gewerbestrasse 25, 4123 Allschwil, Switzerland.
Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2008 Apr;23(4):1216-23. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfn082.
Nephropathy is an indicator of end-organ damage and is a strong predictor of an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and death in patients with diabetes. Screening can lead to early identification and treatment, both of which incur costs. However, identification and treatment may slow or prevent progression to a more expensive stage of the disease and thus may save money. We assessed the health economic impact of screening for nephropathy (microalbuminuria and overt nephropathy) followed by optimal renoprotective-based antihypertensive therapy in a US setting.
A Markov model simulated the lifetime impact of screening with semi-quantitative urine dipsticks in a primary care setting of hypertensive patients with type 2 diabetes and subsequent treatment with irbesartan 300 mg in patients identified as having nephropathy. Progression from no nephropathy to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) was simulated. Probabilities, utilities, medication and ESRD treatment costs came from published sources. Clinical outcomes and direct medical costs were projected. Second order Monte Carlo simulation was used to account for uncertainty in multiple parameters. Annual discount rates of 3% were used where appropriate.
Screening, followed by optimized treatment, led to a 44% reduction in the cumulative incidence of ESRD and improvements in non-discounted life expectancy of 0.25 +/- 0.22 years/patient (mean +/- SD). Quality-adjusted life expectancy was improved by 0.18 +/- 0.15 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)/patient and direct costs increased by $244 +/- 3499/patient. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $20 011 per QALY gained for screening and optimized treatment versus no screening. There was a 77% probability that screening and optimized therapy would be considered cost effective with a willingness to pay a threshold of $50 000.
In patients with type 2 diabetes and hypertension, screening for nephropathy and treatment with a renoprotective-based antihypertensive agent was projected to improve patient outcomes and represent excellent value in a US setting.
肾病是终末器官损害的一个指标,并且是糖尿病患者心血管疾病风险增加和死亡的一个强有力的预测因素。筛查可导致早期识别和治疗,这两者都会产生费用。然而,识别和治疗可能会减缓或预防疾病进展到更昂贵的阶段,从而可能节省费用。我们在美国的背景下评估了筛查肾病(微量白蛋白尿和显性肾病)并随后进行基于最佳肾脏保护的抗高血压治疗的健康经济影响。
一个马尔可夫模型模拟了在2型糖尿病高血压患者的初级保健环境中使用半定量尿试纸进行筛查以及随后对被确定患有肾病的患者使用300毫克厄贝沙坦治疗的终生影响。模拟了从无肾病进展到终末期肾病(ESRD)的过程。概率、效用、药物和ESRD治疗费用均来自已发表的资料。预测了临床结局和直接医疗费用。使用二阶蒙特卡罗模拟来考虑多个参数的不确定性。在适当情况下使用3%的年度贴现率。
筛查后进行优化治疗,导致ESRD的累积发病率降低44%,未贴现的预期寿命每患者提高0.25±0.22年(均值±标准差)。质量调整生命预期每患者提高0.18±0.15质量调整生命年(QALY),直接费用每患者增加244±3499美元。与不进行筛查相比,筛查和优化治疗每获得一个QALY的增量成本效益比为20011美元。筛查和优化治疗在支付意愿阈值为50000美元时被认为具有成本效益的概率为77%。
在2型糖尿病和高血压患者中,筛查肾病并用基于肾脏保护的抗高血压药物治疗预计可改善患者结局,在美国背景下具有很高的价值。