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运用复杂性和混沌科学来分析病媒和人畜共患病。

Sciences of complexity and chaos to analyze vectors and zoonosis.

作者信息

Arch-Tirado Emilio, Rosado-Muñoz Javier

机构信息

Laboratorio de Bioacústica, Instituto Nacional de Rehabilitación México, D.F., Mexico.

出版信息

Cir Cir. 2009 Jul-Aug;77(4):341-50; 317-25.

Abstract

The present paper discusses the fundamentals of the sciences of complexity and chaos as tools in the proliferation of vectors and zoonosis. The first part of the article discusses the rationale and history of the sciences of complexity, a different view as to understand and analyze dynamic systems. These concepts explain the dynamics of the origin of life itself and break the paradigms of linearity and reductionism. This is exemplified by using fractal geometry, the law of the small world and time series analysis among other tools to understand the behavior of chaotic systems, which are presented in the form of the spread of zoonotic diseases. We conclude that most infections and the spread of diseases transmitted by animals tend towards being chaotic, and it is mentioned that 75% of emerging diseases are zoonotic in origin. Therefore, the tools are not linear. They are indispensable for understanding the dynamic behavior of the spread of these diseases.

摘要

本文讨论了复杂性科学和混沌科学的基本原理,将其作为病媒和人畜共患病扩散方面的工具。文章第一部分讨论了复杂性科学的基本原理和历史,这是一种理解和分析动态系统的不同视角。这些概念解释了生命起源本身的动态过程,并打破了线性和还原论的范式。通过使用分形几何、小世界定律和时间序列分析等工具来理解混沌系统的行为,这一点在人畜共患病传播形式中得到了体现。我们得出结论,大多数动物传播的感染和疾病传播趋于混沌状态,并且提到75%的新发疾病起源于人畜共患病。因此,这些工具并非线性的。它们对于理解这些疾病传播的动态行为不可或缺。

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