Hospital Foundation of the State of Minas Gerais (FHEMIG), Núcleo de ensino e Pesquisa do Hospital Galba Velloso, Rua Conde Pereira Carneiro, Belo Horizonte - MG, Brazil.
J Affect Disord. 2010 Jul;124(1-2):178-82. doi: 10.1016/j.jad.2009.11.001. Epub 2009 Nov 20.
Findings from various temperate regions have quite consistently shown a spring/summer peak for the occurrence of manic episodes, but inconsistencies can still be found in results from tropical regions. The present study was designed to investigate the seasonal distribution of mania and its correlations to climatic variables, in a large sample of patients visiting the emergency psychiatric room.
A hospital registry of 5172 emergency psychiatric visits for mania, 2000-2007, at a public psychiatric hospital at Belo Horizonte, Brazil (latitude 19 degrees 55' S), was analyzed. Seasonality was assessed with Cosinor Analysis. Correlations of the rate of admissions for mania to climatic variables were performed, including lagged and differenced data.
A minor, but significant seasonal pattern was evidenced, with a late winter/spring peak and the nadir in February (late summer). The regression model including secular and seasonal components explained 44.4% of the variance of visits for mania. The rate of emergency visits for mania was negatively correlated to relative humidity and rainfall. Altogether, climatic variables explained 8.1% of the variance in the rate of emergency visits for mania.
Using hospital registry data may have led to misclassification of diagnosis. The ecologic design does not account for seasonal evolution of individual cases.
Emergency psychiatric visits for mania were more frequent in late winter/spring, corresponding to the drier seasons of Belo Horizonte. Seasonality of mania in the tropics was corroborated by these results.
来自不同温带地区的研究结果表明躁狂发作多发生于春季/夏季,但在热带地区的研究结果中仍存在差异。本研究旨在调查巴西贝洛奥里藏特市一家公立精神病院急诊室大量躁狂症患者的躁狂发作的季节性分布及其与气候变量的相关性。
对 2000 年至 2007 年期间在巴西贝洛奥里藏特市一家公立精神病院因躁狂症就诊的 5172 例急诊患者的医院登记数据进行分析。采用余弦分析评估季节性。对躁狂症住院率与气候变量进行相关性分析,包括滞后和差分数据。
尽管存在轻微但具有统计学意义的季节性模式,躁狂症冬季/春季后期达到高峰,2 月(夏季后期)达到低谷。包括季节性和长期趋势的回归模型解释了 44.4%的躁狂症就诊率的方差。躁狂症急诊就诊率与相对湿度和降雨量呈负相关。总体而言,气候变量解释了躁狂症急诊就诊率方差的 8.1%。
使用医院登记数据可能导致诊断分类错误。生态设计无法考虑个体病例的季节性演变。
躁狂症患者的急诊就诊率在冬末/春季较高,与贝洛奥里藏特市较干燥的季节相对应。这些结果证实了热带地区躁狂症的季节性。