Behav Sci Law. 2009 Nov-Dec;27(6):941-56. doi: 10.1002/bsl.907.
Juvenile sex offenders are increasingly included in sex offender registration laws, based, in part, on the assumption that they pose a distinctively high risk for future sexual violence and registration may help to mitigate this risk. To test this assumption, the current study compares risk scores on the static scales of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol-II (JSOAP-II; Prentky & Righthand, 2003) and the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI; Hoge, Andrews, & Leschied, 2002), between samples of 106 registered and 66 unregistered juvenile sex offenders. New criminal charges, including sexually based crimes, were examined over a mean follow-up of 49.2 months (SD = 29.6 months). Results indicated that registered youth had lower risk scores on scales that most accurately predicted recidivism and registered youth were charged with new crimes at rates similar to those of unregistered youth. Reoffense risk, as measured by the risk scales, was not moderated by registration. The findings did not support the assumption that registration can effectively lower the risk for reoffense in juvenile offenders.
少年性犯罪者越来越多地被纳入性犯罪者登记法律,部分基于这样的假设,即他们对未来的性暴力构成明显的高风险,而登记可能有助于降低这种风险。为了检验这一假设,本研究比较了 106 名登记在册和 66 名未登记在册的少年性犯罪者在《少年性犯罪者评估协议-二版》(JSOAP-II;Prentky & Righthand,2003)和《青少年量刑/案例管理清单》(YLS/CMI;Hoge、Andrews 和 Leschied,2002)的静态量表上的风险评分。在平均 49.2 个月(SD=29.6 个月)的随访中,研究人员检查了新的犯罪指控,包括基于性别的犯罪。结果表明,登记在册的青少年在最准确预测累犯的量表上的风险评分较低,而登记在册的青少年被指控新犯罪的比率与未登记在册的青少年相似。再犯罪风险,如风险量表所衡量的那样,不受登记的影响。这些发现并不支持这样的假设,即登记可以有效地降低少年犯再次犯罪的风险。