Prescott P A
Nurs Econ. 1991 Jan-Feb;9(1):18-24.
Accurate forecasting of requirements for health care personnel is an important part of avoiding significant imbalances that create costly inefficiencies in health care markets. Manpower shortages threaten access, quality, and costs of health care. This article reviews five general approaches previously used to determine manpower requirements. Suggestions are made for the analytic components of a comprehensive model for identifying significant imbalances in supply or demand for health care workers.
准确预测医护人员的需求是避免出现严重失衡的重要一环，这种失衡会在医疗市场造成代价高昂的低效率。人力短缺会威胁到医疗服务的可及性、质量和成本。本文回顾了此前用于确定人力需求的五种一般方法。针对一个用于识别医护人员供需严重失衡的综合模型的分析组成部分提出了建议。
