[Course and distribution of mortality of pleural mesothelioma in The Netherlands, 1970-1987].

In this article the sex- and age-specific trends and geographical distribution of asbestos related pleural mesothelioma mortality in the Netherlands between 1970 and 1987 are investigated. For men total mortality increased from 10.8 per million during 1970-1978 to 20.9 per million during 1979-1987. The highest mortality occurred with 147.7 per million in 1987 in the age group between 65 and 74 years. Mortality rates for the age group between 55 and 64 years amounted to 96.5 per million in 1987. The geographical distribution over the country showed a strong concentration of male mesothelioma cases in the regions with many harbours, shipyards and heavy industries round Amsterdam, IJmuiden, Rotterdam, Dordrecht and Walcheren. Using linear regression techniques, it was calculated that several thousands new mesothelioma cases will occur in the Netherlands during the next two decades. A significant decrease in mesothelioma mortality can not be expected before 2010.