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等待心脏移植患者中恰加斯病的预后影响。

Prognostic impact of Chagas' disease in patients awaiting heart transplantation.

机构信息

Hospital de Base, São José do Rio Preto city, Brazil.

出版信息

J Heart Lung Transplant. 2010 Apr;29(4):449-53. doi: 10.1016/j.healun.2009.10.014. Epub 2009 Dec 14.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The role of Chagas' etiology of chronic heart failure in predicting patient outcomes while awaiting heart transplantation is unknown. Accordingly, in this study we compare outcomes in Chagas' disease with non-Chagas'-disease-related advanced heart failure among patients on the waiting list for heart transplantation.

METHODS

We reviewed the clinical outcomes of 103 consecutive patients with chronic heart failure listed for heart transplantation from August 2000 to January 2008 at a single institution. Forty-six (44%) patients were diagnosed with Chagas' disease on the basis of positive serology. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to establish independent predictors of mortality, whereas competing risk analysis was used to estimate time-related prevalence of death and heart transplantation in Chagas' disease and non-Chagas' disease patients.

RESULTS

In the multivariate model, inotropic support (p < 0.0005; hazard ratio = 5.96; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.41 to 14.71) and Chagas' disease etiology of heart failure (p = 0.02; hazard ratio = 2.27; 95% CI 1.14 to 4.52) were retained as independent predictors of mortality. Prevalence of death at 100 days after listing was 30% in Chagas' disease and 16% in non-Chagas' disease patients (p = 0.02), despite no difference in the competing rates of transplantation (30% in Chagas' and 37% in non-Chagas' patients, p = 0.5).

CONCLUSIONS

Chagas' disease etiology serves as an independent predictor of mortality in patients listed for heart transplantation, with a worse outcome when compared with non-Chagas' disease patients.

摘要

背景

在等待心脏移植时,恰加斯病引起的慢性心力衰竭对患者预后的作用尚不清楚。因此,本研究比较了等待心脏移植患者中恰加斯病与非恰加斯病相关的晚期心力衰竭的结局。

方法

我们回顾了 2000 年 8 月至 2008 年 1 月在一家机构接受心脏移植的 103 例连续慢性心力衰竭患者的临床结局。46 例(44%)患者根据血清学阳性诊断为恰加斯病。使用 Cox 比例风险模型确定死亡率的独立预测因素,而竞争风险分析用于估计恰加斯病和非恰加斯病患者死亡和心脏移植的时间相关患病率。

结果

在多变量模型中,正性肌力支持(p < 0.0005;风险比= 5.96;95%置信区间 [CI] 2.41 至 14.71)和心力衰竭的恰加斯病病因(p = 0.02;风险比= 2.27;95%CI 1.14 至 4.52)被保留为死亡率的独立预测因素。在列出后的 100 天内,恰加斯病患者的死亡率为 30%,而非恰加斯病患者的死亡率为 16%(p = 0.02),尽管移植的竞争率没有差异(恰加斯病患者为 30%,非恰加斯病患者为 37%,p = 0.5)。

结论

在等待心脏移植的患者中,恰加斯病病因是死亡率的独立预测因素,与非恰加斯病患者相比,结局更差。

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