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全球气候变化背景下中国东北三省农业气候资源特征

[Characteristics of agricultural climate resources in three provinces of northeast China under global climate change].

作者信息

Liu Zhi-juan, Yang Xiao-guang, Wang Wen-feng, Li Ke-nan, Zhang Xiao-yu

机构信息

College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China

出版信息

Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2009 Sep;20(9):2199-206.

Abstract

Based on the 1961-2007 weather data from 72 meteorological stations in three provinces of Northeast China, the change characteristics of agricultural climatic factors including yearly and temperature-defined growing season's mean air temperature, > or =10 degrees C accumulated temperature, precipitation, reference evapotranspiration, and sunshine hours were analyzed. In 1961-2007, the yearly mean air temperature in the three provinces had an increasing trend, with a rate of 0.38 degrees C x 10 a(-1). The > or =10 degrees C accumulated temperature in temperature-defined growing season also had an increasing trend, and the border of > or =10 degrees C accumulated temperature belt moved northward and eastward. The area of > or =3200 degrees C x d accumulated temperature increased by 2.2 x 10(4) km2. The belt of 2800-3200 degrees C x d moved northward about 0.85 degrees and eastward about 0.67 degrees, while that of 2400-2800 degrees C x d moved northward about 1.1 degrees. The sunshine hours decreased significantly, especially in the east part of Songnen Plain, central and west plains of Jilin Province, and west part of Liaohe River Plain. The area with sunshine hours > 2800 h decreased from 13.6 x 10(4) km2 to 4. 1 x 10(4) km2, and the zone with sunshine hours 2600-2800 h moved westward about 1.5 degrees. The average sunshine hour in temperature-defined growing season was 1174 h. Comparing with that in 1961-1980, the region with more sunshine hours in temperature-defined growing season in 1981-2007 narrowed significantly, and the zone with sunshine hours 1200-1400 h moved westward about 0.9 degrees. In 1961-2007, both the yearly and the temperature-defined growing season's precipitation decreased, and the yearly reference evapotranspiration increased in Heilongjiang Province and in the eastern mountain areas of Jilin Province but decreased in the central and west plains of Jilin Province and in Liaoning Province. Comparing with that in 1961-1980, the zone of reference evapotranspiration with the value of > or =900 mm in 1981-2007 moved westward about 1 degree, and the reference evapotranspiration in temperature-defined growing season increased in most regions of Heilongjiang and Jilin Province but decreased in a rate of 0-14 mm x 10 a(-1) in most regions of Liaoning Province.

摘要

基于中国东北三省72个气象站1961 - 2007年的气象数据,分析了包括年平均气温、温度界定生长季平均气温、≥10℃积温、降水量、参考蒸散量和日照时数等农业气候要素的变化特征。1961 - 2007年,三省年平均气温呈上升趋势,速率为0.38℃×10年⁻¹。温度界定生长季的≥10℃积温也呈上升趋势,≥10℃积温带边界向北、向东移动。≥3200℃·d积温区域面积增加了2.2×10⁴平方千米。2800 - 3200℃·d积温带向北移动约0.85度、向东移动约0.67度,而2400 - 2800℃·d积温带向北移动约1.1度。日照时数显著减少,尤其是在松嫩平原东部、吉林省中部和西部平原以及辽河平原西部。日照时数>2800小时的区域面积从13.6×10⁴平方千米减少到4.1×10⁴平方千米,日照时数2600 - 2800小时的区域向西移动约1.5度。温度界定生长季的平均日照时数为1174小时。与1961 - 1980年相比,1981 - 2007年温度界定生长季日照时数较多的区域显著缩小,日照时数1200 - 1400小时的区域向西移动约0.9度。1961 - 2007年,年降水量和温度界定生长季降水量均减少,黑龙江省以及吉林省东部山区的年参考蒸散量增加,而吉林省中部和西部平原以及辽宁省的年参考蒸散量减少。与1961 - 1980年相比,1981 - 2007年参考蒸散量≥900毫米的区域向西移动约1度,黑龙江省和吉林省大部分地区温度界定生长季的参考蒸散量增加,而辽宁省大部分地区参考蒸散量以0 - 14毫米×10年⁻¹的速率减少。

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