Bridges F Stephen, Tankersley William B
The University of West Florida, Department of Health, Leisure & Exercise Science, 11,000 University Parkway, Pensacola, Florida 32514, USA.
Isr J Psychiatry Relat Sci. 2009;46(3):182-8.
Durkheim's modified theory of suicide was examined to explore how consistent it was in predicting Israeli rates of suicide from 1965 to 1997 when using age-adjusted rates rather than crude ones. In this time-series study, Israeli male and female rates of suicide increased and decreased, respectively, between 1965 and 1997. Conforming to Durkheim's modified theory, the Israeli male rate of suicide was lower in years when rates of marriage and birth are higher, while rates of suicide are higher in years when rates of divorce are higher, the opposite to that of Israeli women. The corrected regression coefficients suggest that the Israeli female rate of suicide remained lower in years when rate of divorce is higher, again the opposite suggested by Durkheim's modified theory. These results may indicate that divorce affects the mental health of Israeli women as suggested by their lower rate of suicide. Perhaps the "multiple roles held by Israeli females creates suicidogenic stress" and divorce provides some sense of stress relief, mentally speaking. The results were not as consistent with predictions suggested by Durkheim's modified theory of suicide as were rates from the United States for the same period nor were they consistent with rates based on "crude" suicide data. Thus, using age-adjusted rates of suicide had an influence on the prediction of the Israeli rate of suicide during this period.
对涂尔干修正后的自杀理论进行了检验,以探讨在使用年龄调整率而非粗率时,该理论在预测1965年至1997年以色列自杀率方面的一致性如何。在这项时间序列研究中,1965年至1997年间,以色列男性和女性的自杀率分别出现了上升和下降。符合涂尔干修正后的理论,以色列男性自杀率在结婚率和出生率较高的年份较低,而在离婚率较高的年份自杀率较高,这与以色列女性的情况相反。校正后的回归系数表明,在离婚率较高的年份,以色列女性自杀率仍然较低,这再次与涂尔干修正后的理论相反。这些结果可能表明,离婚会影响以色列女性的心理健康,正如她们较低的自杀率所显示的那样。也许“以色列女性所扮演的多种角色会产生自杀性压力”,从心理层面讲,离婚能带来某种压力缓解的感觉。研究结果与同期美国自杀率所显示的涂尔干修正后的自杀理论预测并不一致,也与基于“粗”自杀数据得出的自杀率不一致。因此,使用年龄调整后的自杀率对这一时期以色列自杀率的预测产生了影响。