Carroll Gabriel D, Choi James J, Laibson David, Madrian Brigitte C, Metrick Andrew
Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Q J Econ. 2009 Nov 1;124(4):1639-1674. doi: 10.1162/qjec.2009.124.4.1639.
Defaults often have a large influence on consumer decisions. We identify an overlooked but practical alternative to defaults: requiring individuals to make an explicit choice for themselves. We study such "active decisions" in the context of 401(k) saving. We find that compelling new hires to make active decisions about 401(k) enrollment raises the initial fraction that enroll by 28 percentage points relative to a standard opt-in enrollment procedure, producing a savings distribution three months after hire that would take 30 months to achieve under standard enrollment. We also present a model of 401(k) enrollment and derive conditions under which the optimal enrollment regime is automatic enrollment (i.e., default enrollment), standard enrollment (i.e., default non-enrollment), or active decisions (i.e., no default and compulsory choice). Active decisions are optimal when consumers have a strong propensity to procrastinate and savings preferences are highly heterogeneous. Financial illiteracy, however, favors default enrollment over active decision enrollment.
默认选项通常对消费者决策有很大影响。我们发现了一种被忽视但切实可行的默认选项替代方式:要求个人为自己做出明确选择。我们在401(k)储蓄的背景下研究这种“主动决策”。我们发现,迫使新员工对401(k)参保做出主动决策,相对于标准的选择加入参保程序,将初始参保比例提高了28个百分点,在入职三个月后产生的储蓄分布情况,在标准参保方式下需要30个月才能实现。我们还提出了一个401(k)参保模型,并推导了在哪些条件下最优参保制度是自动参保(即默认参保)、标准参保(即默认不参保)或主动决策(即无默认且强制选择)。当消费者有强烈的拖延倾向且储蓄偏好高度异质时,主动决策是最优的。然而,金融知识匮乏有利于默认参保而非主动决策参保。