95 岁以上人群 3 年死亡率的预测因素。NonaSantfeliu 研究。
Predictors of 3-year mortality in subjects over 95 years of age. The NonaSantfeliu study.
机构信息
Geriatric Unit, Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat 08907, Barcelona, Spain.
出版信息
J Nutr Health Aging. 2010 Jan;14(1):63-5. doi: 10.1007/s12603-010-0011-3.
OBJECTIVES
To examine the survival rates of subjects aged 95 or over after a follow-up period of 3 years, and to determine predictive factors for mortality risk.
DESIGN
A prospective cohort study.
SETTING
A community-based study.
PARTICIPANTS
Forty-eight subjects aged 95 or over.
MEASUREMENTS
Sociodemographic data, Barthel Index, Lawton-Brody Index, Spanish version of the Mini-Mental State Examination, short version of the Mini Nutritional Assessment, comorbidity (Charlson Index), and prevalent chronic diseases were evaluated. Patients who died were compared with the rest.
RESULTS
Thirty-six deaths (75%) were recorded during follow-up. The Cox multivariate analysis showed that lower Barthel Index scores and a history of heart failure were independently associated with long-term mortality.
CONCLUSIONS
In subjects aged 95 or over, poor functional status and history of heart failure were the two independent risk factors for 3-year mortality.
目的
在 3 年的随访后，调查年龄在 95 岁及以上的受试者的生存率，并确定死亡率的预测因素。
设计
前瞻性队列研究。
设置
基于社区的研究。
参与者
48 名年龄在 95 岁及以上的受试者。
测量
人口统计学数据、巴氏指数、洛顿-布罗迪指数、西班牙版简易精神状态检查、迷你营养评估简短版、合并症（查尔森指数）和常见慢性疾病。将死亡的患者与其余患者进行比较。
结果
在随访期间记录了 36 例死亡（75%）。Cox 多变量分析表明，较低的巴氏指数评分和心力衰竭史与长期死亡率独立相关。
结论
在年龄在 95 岁及以上的受试者中，较差的功能状态和心力衰竭史是 3 年死亡率的两个独立危险因素。
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