Departamento de Epidemiologia, Faculdade de Saúde Pública, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brasil.
Arq Bras Cardiol. 2009 Nov;93(5):498-505. doi: 10.1590/s0066-782x2009001100010.
Knowledge on the trends of cardiovascular mortality is important to make hypotheses on its occurrence as well as to support prevention and control measures.
To compare mortality for the group of cardiovascular diseases and their main subgroups (ischemic heart diseases and cerebrovascular diseases) in the city of Sao Paulo by age and gender between the periods of 1996 to1998 and 2003 to 2005.
Data on deaths from the Programa de Aprimoramento das Informações de Mortalidade para o Município(Program of Improvement of Information on Mortality for the City), and population estimates from the SEADE Foundation of the State of Sao Paulo were used. The magnitude of mortality and its changes between the three-year periods were measured using the description of coefficients and relative percentage variation. The Poisson regression model was also used to estimate the change in mortality between the periods.
A significant reduction was observed in cardiovascular mortality. The coefficients increased with age in both genders, and were higher in the male population in comparison to the female population, and in the age range of 70 years and older. Mortality coefficients for ischemic heart diseases were higher than those for cerebrovascular diseases among men and women aged 50 years or older. The reduction in the group of cardiovascular diseases was greater among women aged 20 to 29 years (-30%), and among men aged 30 to 39 years (-26%).
The intensity of cardiovascular mortality decreased between 1996 and 1998, and 2003 and 2005, however with differences between the groups. This reduction may reflect, in part, a greater access to diagnostic and therapeutic methods.
了解心血管疾病死亡率的趋势对于提出发病假说以及支持预防和控制措施非常重要。
比较 1996 年至 1998 年和 2003 年至 2005 年期间圣保罗市心血管疾病及其主要亚组(缺血性心脏病和脑血管疾病)的死亡率在年龄和性别方面的差异。
利用 Programa de Aprimoramento das Informações de Mortalidade para o Município(城市死亡率改善计划)中的死亡数据和来自 Sao Paulo 州 SEADE 基金会的人口估计数据。通过描述系数和相对百分比变化来衡量死亡率的大小及其在三个时期之间的变化。还使用泊松回归模型估计两个时期之间死亡率的变化。
心血管疾病死亡率显著下降。两性的系数均随年龄增长而增加,且男性的系数高于女性,在 70 岁及以上年龄组更高。50 岁及以上男性和女性的缺血性心脏病死亡率均高于脑血管疾病死亡率。20 至 29 岁女性(-30%)和 30 至 39 岁男性(-26%)心血管疾病组的下降幅度更大。
1996 年至 1998 年和 2003 年至 2005 年期间,心血管疾病死亡率有所下降,但各群组之间存在差异。这种下降在一定程度上可能反映了诊断和治疗方法的更大普及。