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基于蚊虫分布模型的大韩民国疟疾风险评估

Malaria risk assessment for the Republic of Korea based on models of mosquito distribution.

作者信息

Foley Desmond H, Klein Terry A, Kim Heung Chul, Wilkerson Richard C, Rueda Leopoldo M

机构信息

Walter Reed Biosystematics Unit, Division of Entomology, Walter Reed Army Institute of Research, Smithsonian Institution Museum Support Center, Suitland, Maryland, USA.

出版信息

US Army Med Dep J. 2008 Apr-Jun:46-53.

Abstract

Data on climate, environment, and adult and larval mosquito collection sites throughout the Republic of Korea (ROK) were used to model the potential distribution of the 8 anopheline species known to occur there. These models were overlaid on predicted areas of malaria suitability to better define the distribution of malaria risk in the ROK. The concept of the "mal-area"- an area of co-occurrence of humans, parasites and vectors, where malaria transmission is possible-is explained. Quantification of the mal-area in the vicinity of 5 military installations in the north of the country suggested that they had very different malaria risks, depending on what the vector species were, and the method of calculation. An online mal-area calculator for malaria risk assessment (currently under development) is discussed.

摘要

利用韩国境内气候、环境以及成蚊和幼虫采集地点的数据,对已知在该国出现的8种按蚊的潜在分布进行建模。这些模型叠加在预测的疟疾适宜区域上,以更好地界定韩国疟疾风险的分布情况。文中解释了“疟疾区域”这一概念,即人类、寄生虫和病媒共存且有可能发生疟疾传播的区域。对该国北部5个军事设施附近的疟疾区域进行量化分析表明,根据病媒种类和计算方法的不同,它们面临的疟疾风险差异很大。文中还讨论了一款用于疟疾风险评估的在线疟疾区域计算器(目前正在开发中)。

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