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成年人在无临床合并症情况下的 BMI、体重稳定性与死亡率:芬兰双胞胎队列的 22 年死亡率随访研究。

BMI, weight stability and mortality among adults without clinical co-morbidities: a 22-year mortality follow-up in the Finnish twin cohort.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.

出版信息

Obes Facts. 2009;2(6):344-51. doi: 10.1159/000261416. Epub 2009 Dec 4.

Abstract

AIM AND METHOD

Cause-specific mortality was studied in relation to body mass index (BMI) and weight stability (defined as less than 1 BMI unit change during a 6-year period) in 15,424 initially healthy twin subjects from the Finnish Twin Cohort, first examined in 1975, re-examined in 1981, and then followed over 22 years (1982-2003). Additionally, death discordant twin pairs were studied to assess whether body weight differences are associated with mortality independent of childhood factors and genetic background. Deaths and cause of death were ascertained from national registries. Associations with mortality were estimated by Cox proportional hazards model for all individuals and conditional logistic regression analysis for pairwise analyses.

RESULTS

Mortality increased with increasing BMI for all causes and coronary heart disease (CHD) in men, and there were no associations for all natural causes, cerebrovascular disease, and violent deaths. After adjustment for multiple co-variates and changes in co-variates between 1975 and 1981, BMI was associated with CHD mortality in all men (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.22, 95% CI 1.06-1.41) and in men with stable weight between 1975 and 1981 (HR = 1.26, 95% CI 1.03-1.55). Overall risk of death and cause-specific mortality was not associated with BMI in women.

CONCLUSION

Among clinically healthy subjects at low risk of death, BMI appears to be associated with CHD risk in men.

摘要

目的和方法

在来自芬兰双胞胎队列的 15424 名最初健康的双胞胎受试者中,研究了与体重指数(BMI)和体重稳定性(定义为在 6 年内体重变化小于 1 BMI 单位)相关的特定原因死亡率。这些受试者于 1975 年首次接受检查,1981 年再次接受检查,然后在 22 年内(1982-2003 年)进行随访。此外,还研究了死亡不一致的双胞胎对,以评估体重差异是否与死亡率相关,而与儿童时期的因素和遗传背景无关。通过国家登记处确定死亡和死因。使用 Cox 比例风险模型对所有个体和条件逻辑回归分析对配对分析估计与死亡率的关联。

结果

在男性中,所有原因和冠心病(CHD)的死亡率随着 BMI 的增加而增加,而对于所有自然原因、脑血管疾病和暴力死亡,没有关联。在调整了多个协变量以及 1975 年至 1981 年间协变量的变化后,BMI 与所有男性的 CHD 死亡率相关(风险比(HR)=1.22,95%置信区间 1.06-1.41)和在 1975 年至 1981 年间体重稳定的男性中(HR=1.26,95%置信区间 1.03-1.55)。BMI 与女性的总死亡风险和特定原因死亡率无关。

结论

在死亡风险较低的临床健康受试者中,BMI 似乎与男性的 CHD 风险相关。

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