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EuroSCORE 可改善 SYNTAX 评分在接受左主干经皮冠状动脉介入治疗患者中的预测能力。

EuroSCORE refines the predictive ability of SYNTAX score in patients undergoing left main percutaneous coronary intervention.

机构信息

Dipartimento di Cardiologia, Ospedale Ferrarotto, Università di Catania, Italy.

出版信息

Am Heart J. 2010 Jan;159(1):103-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2009.10.021.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Whether SYNTAX score should be used as a stand-alone tool or whether its performance may be improved by the parallel use of clinical scores focusing on comorbidities, such as EuroSCORE, is a matter of debate.

METHODS

A combined risk model including both clinical and angiographic information was developed, and its performance tested on a contemporary population of 255 patients with left main disease undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). A global risk classification (GRC) system was created by combination of SYNTAX score and EuroSCORE strata, and new classes of risk were defined.

RESULTS

When EuroSCORE was fitted into the SYNTAX score model, c-statistic increased from 0.681 to 0.732 for the prediction of cardiac mortality. The likelihood ratio test for the significance of adding the EuroSCORE term to the model was chi(2) = 4.109 (P = .043) with a net reclassification improvement of 26% (P = .002). GRC showed the best prediction and discriminative ability in terms of two-year cardiac mortality (HR 3.40, 95% CI 1.79-6.43, P < .001; c-statistic 0.756) as compared with SYNTAX score (HR 2.87, 95% CI 1.35-6.10, P = .006; c-statistic 0.747) and EuroSCORE (HR 3.04, 95% CI 1.41-6.57, P = .005; c-statistic 0.708) alone.

CONCLUSIONS

We found a significant improvement in the prediction of cardiac mortality with the inclusion of EuroSCORE in a SYNTAX score-based model. The degree of reclassification between treatment threshold categories indicates that clinical and angiographic information are both important for assessing individual risk of patients undergoing left main PCI.

摘要

背景

SYNTAX 评分是否应单独用作工具,或者通过同时使用侧重于合并症的临床评分(如 EuroSCORE)是否可以提高其性能,这是一个有争议的问题。

方法

开发了一个包含临床和血管造影信息的综合风险模型,并在接受经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)的 255 例左主干病变患者的当代人群中对其性能进行了测试。通过将 SYNTAX 评分和 EuroSCORE 分层相结合创建了一种新的全球风险分类(GRC)系统,并定义了新的风险类别。

结果

当将 EuroSCORE 纳入 SYNTAX 评分模型时,预测心脏死亡率的 C 统计量从 0.681 增加到 0.732。模型中添加 EuroSCORE 项的似然比检验为 chi(2) = 4.109(P =.043),净重新分类改善率为 26%(P =.002)。GRC 在两年心脏死亡率方面显示出最佳的预测和区分能力(HR 3.40,95%CI 1.79-6.43,P <.001;C 统计量 0.756),与 SYNTAX 评分(HR 2.87,95%CI 1.35-6.10,P =.006;C 统计量 0.747)和 EuroSCORE(HR 3.04,95%CI 1.41-6.57,P =.005;C 统计量 0.708)相比。

结论

我们发现,通过在基于 SYNTAX 评分的模型中纳入 EuroSCORE,可以显著提高心脏死亡率的预测准确性。治疗阈值类别之间的再分类程度表明,临床和血管造影信息对于评估接受左主干 PCI 患者的个体风险都很重要。

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