Department of Paraclinical Veterinary Studies, University of Zimbabwe, P.O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Prev Vet Med. 2010 May 1;94(3-4):213-21. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2010.01.003. Epub 2010 Feb 8.
A cross-sectional study was conducted to investigate factors for Brucella seropositivity in smallholder dairy cattle herds from Gokwe, Marirangwe, Mushagashe, Nharira, Rusitu and Wedza areas located in different agro-ecological regions of Zimbabwe between September 2004 and November 2005. Sera were collected from cattle aged > or = 2 years from 203 herds. Data on herd-level and management variables were collected using a structured questionnaire. Sera were screened for anti-Brucella antibodies using the Rose Bengal test (RBT) and confirmed by competitive ELISA (c-ELISA). A herd was classified as Brucella seropositive if at least one animal tested seropositive on both tests. The herd-level factors for Brucella seropositivity were tested using multivariable logistic model with herd infection status as dependent variable while the levels of exposure in individual animals within-herds were analysed by negative binomial regression using the number of positive animals as the outcome. Of the 203 herds tested, 52 (25; 95% CI: 18.1, 31.9%) tested seropositive for brucellosis. Using the logistic regression model we identified area, with both Rusitu (OR=0.26; 95% CI: 0.07, 1.03) and Wedza (OR=0.07; 95% CI: 0.01, 0.49) having lower Brucella seropositivity compared to Gokwe. Keeping mixed cattle breeds (OR=8.33; 95% CI: 2.70, 25.72) compared to single breed herds, was associated with increased herd seropositivity. The farmer's knowledge of brucellosis was associated with lower odds (OR=0.17; 95% CI: 0.05, 0.55) of farms testing seropositive. The odds of Brucella seropositivity were progressively higher with increasing stocking density and herd size. Using the negative binomial regression model we identified area, keeping mixed breed herds, stocking density and herd size as independently associated with increased counts of seropositive cattle in a herd.
本研究于 2004 年 9 月至 2005 年 11 月期间,在津巴布韦不同农业生态区的戈奎、马里兰格韦、马什加谢、尼哈里拉、鲁西图和韦德扎地区的 203 个小型奶牛场进行了横断面研究,以调查布鲁氏菌血清阳性的因素。从 203 个牛场中采集了 2 岁以上的牛血清。使用结构化问卷收集了与牛群和管理变量相关的数据。采用虎红平板凝集试验(RBT)筛查血清抗布鲁氏菌抗体,并用竞争酶联免疫吸附试验(c-ELISA)进行确认。如果至少有一头动物在两种检测中均呈血清阳性,则将牛群定义为布鲁氏菌血清阳性。将牛群感染状态作为因变量,采用多变量逻辑模型检验牛群血清阳性的 herd-level 因素,采用负二项回归分析 herd 内个体动物的暴露水平,以阳性动物数量作为结果。在检测的 203 个牛群中,有 52 个(25%;95%CI:18.1,31.9%)牛群布鲁氏菌病血清阳性。采用逻辑回归模型,我们发现 Rusitu(OR=0.26;95%CI:0.07,1.03)和 Wedza(OR=0.07;95%CI:0.01,0.49)地区的布鲁氏菌血清阳性率低于 Gokwe。与单一品种牛群相比,饲养混合品种牛群(OR=8.33;95%CI:2.70,25.72)与牛群血清阳性率增加有关。农民对布鲁氏菌病的了解与农场血清阳性率降低有关(OR=0.17;95%CI:0.05,0.55)。随着畜群密度和畜群规模的增加,布鲁氏菌血清阳性的几率逐渐增加。采用负二项回归模型,我们发现,区域、混合品种畜群、畜群密度和畜群规模与畜群中血清阳性牛的数量独立相关。