Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering at University of Virginia, USA.
J Law Med Ethics. 2009 Winter;37(4):770-80. doi: 10.1111/j.1748-720X.2009.00447.x.
This article introduces a method to identify risks through expert elicitation, using silver nanotechnology as a case study. Unique features of the method include supplying experts with a list of silver nanotechnology products, and conducting the elicitation in an extended interview format that captures the experts' reasoning. The end result is a series of graphical representations of expert thinking from which high-risk scenarios and knowledge gaps can be reliably inferred. This methodology, combined with other approaches to expert elicitation, can help identify knowledge and oversight gaps, and can be used as part of an adaptive management strategy.
本文以银纳米技术为例，介绍了一种通过专家征询来识别风险的方法。该方法的独特之处在于为专家提供了一份银纳米技术产品清单，并以扩展访谈的形式进行征询，以记录专家的推理过程。最终得到的是一系列专家思维的图形表示，可以从中可靠地推断出高风险场景和知识空白。这种方法与其他专家征询方法相结合，可以帮助识别知识和监督空白，并可作为适应性管理策略的一部分。
